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Message: At the close..today ..

At the close..today ..

posted on Aug 04, 2009 05:48PM

October gold closed higher on Tuesday as it extends the rally off last week's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term.

If October extends this week's rally, June's high crossing at 991.80 is the next upside target. Closes below last Wednesday's low crossing at 926.50 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness during the first half of August.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 971.20. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 991.80. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 950.10. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 940.30.

September silver closed higher on Monday as it extends the rally off July's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday.

Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off July's low, the reaction high crossing at 15.575 is the next upside target.

Closes below last Wednesday's low crossing at 13.165 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for a larger-degree decline into early August. First resistance is today's high crossing at 14.765. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 15.575. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 13.857. Second support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 13.479.

September copper closed higher on Tuesday as it extends this summer's rally.

The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term.

If September extends this summer's rally, the 62% retracement level of last summer's decline crossing at 289.71 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 245.35 are needed to confirm that a short- term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 279.90. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the aforementioned decline crossing at 289.71.

First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 258.19. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 245.36.

FOOD & FIBER

http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=food

September coffee closed slightly lower due to light profit taking on Tuesday but remains above the 62% retracement level of this summer's decline crossing at 13.28. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off July's low, the 75% retracement level of the June-July decline crossing at 13.69 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 12.15 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

September cocoa closed higher on Tuesday as it extends last week's breakout above resistance marked by June's high crossing at 28.58. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning bullish again signaling that sideways to higher prices is possible near-term. If September extends this summer's rally, last August's high crossing at 29.73 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 27.94 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

October sugar closed higher on Tuesday as it extends this year's rally. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning neutral to bullish hinting that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If October extends this summer's rally, monthly resistance crossing at 19.73 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 18.04 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

October cotton posted an inside day with a slightly lower close on Tuesday as it consolidates some of Monday's rally.

Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If October extends Monday's rally, July's high crossing at 63.10 is the next upside target. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 58.45 are needed to confirm that a top has been posted.

GRAINS

http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=grains

September Corn closed down 3 1/2-cents at 3.54 1/2.

September corn posted an inside day with a lower close on Tuesday due to profit taking as traders consolidated some of its recent gains. Monday's weekly crop progress report confirms serious maturity delays in portions of the northwestern Midwest and some central and eastern areas. Crop ratings remain well above average suggesting that USDA could significantly boost yield estimates next week. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Today's low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. If September extends the rally off July's low, the June 30th gap crossing at 3.83 1/4 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 3.64 1/2. Second resistance is the June 30th gap crossing at 3.83 1/4. First support is Monday's gap crossing at 3.39 1/4. Second support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 3.29 3/4.

September wheat closed down 7-cents at 5.42 1/4.

September wheat posted an inside day with a lower close on Tuesday as it consolidated some of Monday's rally. Today's low- range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above gap resistance crossing at 5.54 are needed to confirm that a seasonal low has been posted. If September renews this summer's decline, psychological support crossing at 5.00 is the next downside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 5.57. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of this summer's decline crossing at 5.80 1/4. First support is Monday's gap crossing at 5.36. Second support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 5.05.

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