...just my take on things
posted on
Feb 01, 2009 12:58PM
(Edit this message through the "fast facts" section)
I think there are so many bag holders that found it unfathomable selling at .20 cents and .30 cents. My guess is they felt sick when the stock hit .06 cents and will wait for the first opportunity to start getting some of their money back.
Now that these bag holders know the product is nearly on the shelf, it is quite obvious that Friday would not have been a good time to take the money and run. I am speculating that there is going to be a considerable amount of selloff soon and I do not expect the same kind of replay as last year. We are under an entirely different set of circumstances with most investments down almost 70%.
If you rode Alda down from $1.00 or more and are bag holding, are you not going to try to get some of your money back, maybe just a bit at .30 cents? If not, I think there will be many investors that *will* do this and they will not stop selling if the stock goes past .30 cents.
This is not a bad thing to get old money out and new money in. With the product on the shelves and a US listing right around the corner, this will attract new money considering most of the investment community figured it was safe to pull their money out of the market and stay in a cash position.
When the product hits the stores, likely just as many investors will sell off as there will be new investors from the US. The stock is unlikely to hit a target TO had in mind before he would do a new financing for the fungal/vaginal products.
Just suppose with a MM all ready in the US, the stock hits all the Wal-Mart’s and Shopper’s Drug Marts. Maybe the stock would spike to .40 cents or .50 cents and I bet we will see a massive selloff. If the stock got hammered down, what better time to do a new PP and get on with the long-awaited fungal/vaginal project?
This is all “just suppose” and speculation on my part so take it with a grain of salt. 2009 is expected to be a horrendous year in almost any aspect you can think of. We will have record unemployment, more sub-prime mortgages due this spring, massive inflation, and taxes have no choice but to go up. Will you feel safe with your money in the market, even if Alda looks like a strong fundamental contender?