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Message: Otto on Stufmuffin
Sunday, July 6
Will Studmuffin last as President to 2019?
The big question: Will he look this muffin-y at 59 years old?According to the article approved by the Constitutional Assembly (CA) today, that's what he could do. Here's a Spanish language link.
The CA today approved the article that stipulates all Presidential mandates to be four years in length (no change there), but also allows a single re-election of the sitting President (much like the USA, and joining Colombia, Brazil and others in this recent rule change). However, the CA also stated that the article is not retroactive, and a "full stop, rub it out, start again" (the precise Spanish is "borrón y cuenta nueva) concept means that current President Studmuffin Correa can go for his "first" election when he finishes the current mandate in 2011, and then his "re-election" in 2015 (yeah, I know. Think about phrases that include yellow fruit and countries if you like). Therefore, he could still be top man in Ecuador when my closing-in-on-five year old daughter is old enough to drive (which is a weird thought on several levels, believe me).
I'd comment a couple of things here. Firstly, the recent track record of President changeovers in Ecuador (something like 4 or 5 or 17 in the last 10 years...like...errr.....dude) does not give a ton of assurance that Correa will make it that far....but who knows, eh?
Secondly, and leaving the specific Correa issue aside for a second, it is interesting to see the move towards permitting Presidential re-elections throughout South America. In my lifetime the region has moved from military dictatorships and terrorist rule (both of which operated death squads) to a continent where there's enough trust in the political system to allow re-elections of those leaders that do good jobs, at least according to their own people, at least. Gotta be good in the long run, I'd think.
Mind you, all this still might be jumping the gun in Ecuador's case. After all, this is only the draft constitution, and the big bad yes/no vote at the end of September is what really counts. Vamos a ver..........
The CA today approved the article that stipulates all Presidential mandates to be four years in length (no change there), but also allows a single re-election of the sitting President (much like the USA, and joining Colombia, Brazil and others in this recent rule change). However, the CA also stated that the article is not retroactive, and a "full stop, rub it out, start again" (the precise Spanish is "borrón y cuenta nueva) concept means that current President Studmuffin Correa can go for his "first" election when he finishes the current mandate in 2011, and then his "re-election" in 2015 (yeah, I know. Think about phrases that include yellow fruit and countries if you like). Therefore, he could still be top man in Ecuador when my closing-in-on-five year old daughter is old enough to drive (which is a weird thought on several levels, believe me).
I'd comment a couple of things here. Firstly, the recent track record of President changeovers in Ecuador (something like 4 or 5 or 17 in the last 10 years...like...errr.....dude) does not give a ton of assurance that Correa will make it that far....but who knows, eh?
Secondly, and leaving the specific Correa issue aside for a second, it is interesting to see the move towards permitting Presidential re-elections throughout South America. In my lifetime the region has moved from military dictatorships and terrorist rule (both of which operated death squads) to a continent where there's enough trust in the political system to allow re-elections of those leaders that do good jobs, at least according to their own people, at least. Gotta be good in the long run, I'd think.
Mind you, all this still might be jumping the gun in Ecuador's case. After all, this is only the draft constitution, and the big bad yes/no vote at the end of September is what really counts. Vamos a ver..........
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