RE: 2 C OPTIi Upgrader Status
posted on
Dec 17, 2008 04:20AM
Connacher is a growing exploration, development and production company with a focus on producing bitumen and expanding its in-situ oil sands projects located near Fort McMurray, Alberta
2 C; I got the following information from OPTI's Q3 report concerning their Upgrader. I appears that OPTI has experienced high cost overruns and they are pushing back their Phase II development until 2010 which I assume is the increase in their SAGD production along with the increase in their Upgrader capacity.
"The combination of current SAGD production levels and externally sourced bitumen is expected to be sufficient for start-up of the Upgrader. We anticipate that by year-end 2008 we will be producing approximately 25,000 bbl/d of bitumen and expect to ramp up to full design rates of 72,000 bbl/d (36,000 bbl/d net to OPTI), upgraded into 58,500 bbl/d of PSCâ„¢, in early 2010. Construction cost centres for SAGD and Upgrader have been closed since March 2008. Three cost centres remain on Phase 1 of the Long Lake Project: Upgrader start-up, the steam expansion project, and the ash processing unit. Start-up activities on the Upgrader have taken longer than expected and, as a result, these costs from April 1, 2008 through Upgrader start-up are now expected to be approximately $285 million versus our March estimate of $165 million. Construction of the steam expansion project is ongoing with expected mechanical completion by year-end. Upon an evaluation of recent trends it has been estimated that the cost to complete this project, which began construction in 2006, has increased from an overall cost of $395 million to $550 million. The primary reasons for the increases are higher than estimated field labour costs and increased schedule duration. Construction on the ash processing unit has been temporarily halted to allow for a safe Upgrader start-up.
Advancing Future Phases OPTI has sufficient bitumen resources to develop six phases and reach production volumes of approximately 180,000 bbl/d of PSCâ„¢ net to OPTI. We and Nexen Inc., our 50/50 joint venture partner, have agreed to defer sanctioning of Phase 2 but to continue to advance up-front engineering and planning in order to be in a position to sanction towards the end of 2009. The decision to defer Phase 2 is based on a combination of the following factors: uncertain financial markets, an escalating capital cost environment, pending regulatory approval for the SAGD portion of the project and lack of clarity on carbon dioxide (CO 2) mregulations. The additional time is expected to allow us to increase the level of execution preparation and planning in advance of a sanctioning decision."