Rebels:

Additionally, one other factor one asumes wihin your scenario. That the world economy will continue in a state of recovery with no additonal downturn in demand for oil. Though for the moment, such seems to be the case, an additonal protracted downturn in petroleum demand from the worlds largest petroleum consumer, the US, continues a real possibility. In fact, some highly knowledgable people are forcasting just such a scenario. If all works to the ideal, then you may be right. Anything less, with increasing degree, your positive outcome is in ever greater doubt.

Brian