IMHO Connacher's management is thinking bbl/price will rise,I still think we'll see some price drop due in no small part to MMs,I might have tunnel vision but for me DEMAND will esccalate until alternatives are found for Oil,SUPPLY on the other hand will shrink,I see this as logical,even if SUPPLY can be relenished its already factual that it is and will be more expensive requiring an escallating price of bbl,reading the article below only adds to my beleif in PEAK Oil ..

George Jahn

08:10 EST Tuesday, Sep 22, 2009

Vienna — Oil prices hung near $70 (U.S.) a barrel Tuesday after falling steeply overnight amid news that China's crude consumption fell in August.

Chinese oil demand slid 5.4 per cent in August from July, the first month-to-month drop since March, according to Platts, the energy information arm of McGraw-Hill Cos., as the world's second-largest oil consumer reined in oil imports and crude throughput rates at its domestic refineries.

Benchmark crude for October delivery was up 88 cents at $70.59 a barrel in noon European electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell $2.33 to settle at $69.71 on Monday.

Energy consumption in North America and Europe has been crimped by recession, leaving China as one of the few countries that continue to consume oil, gasoline and diesel in growing quantities. That pace, at least during late summer, appeared to slow, according to a report released Monday.

“Crude oil is not moving higher, but the only problem is, it is not moving lower either,” noted trader and analyst Stephen Schork, in his Schork Report. “In other words, the market is mired inside a well defined consolidation pattern – in between the mid $70s and high $60s.”

But some analysts expect a second-half recovery in demand from Europe and the U.S. combined with still decent energy appetite from Asia to boost oil prices.

“I think we're going to see a pretty significant recovery in the second half in the U.S. and Europe, and demand from China has been holding up,” said Christoffer Moltke-Leth, head of sales trading for Saxo Capital Markets in Singapore. “I see more upside than downside for oil prices right now.”

Mr. Moltke-Leth said crude could rise above $75 during the next month. “If we can break through that, prices will likely jump to $80.”

In other Nymex trading, gasoline and oil for October delivery both rose by more than 2 cents to $1.77 a gallon. Natural gas, after tumbling more than 5 per cent, was up more than 11 cents to $3.69 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In London, Brent crude rose 85 cents to $69.54 on the ICE Futures exchange.