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Connacher is a growing exploration, development and production company with a focus on producing bitumen and expanding its in-situ oil sands projects located near Fort McMurray, Alberta

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Message: Re: Thinking about Q3 results
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Nov 06, 2009 05:55PM

1) 3rd quarter will not show average production over 6500 bbl/d. Remember Sept had a 4 day shut-down and then problems, expect 6000 bbl/d for Sept. Hoping for anything more in the 3rd 1/4 is a dream. 4th 1/4 would be nice to see average of 8500/bbl/d but CLL has not proven this can be done

2) They may have good margins on asphalt sales but refinery also had a shutdown, don't expect a windfall

3) CLL doesn't seem to be the type to sell off assets

4) Algar looks good, but so did GD

5) Your cash flow of about $24 million seems about right

6) They will have big foreign exchange gain because of costless collar on US exchange

7) Hedging anpther 2500 bbl/d starting Jan 1/2010 for 9 months a good idea, as I stated in "lets be CLL Mgmt for a minute" in a previuos post.


Nov 08, 2009 02:41AM
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