Welcome to the Connacher Oil and Gas Hub on AGORACOM

Connacher is a growing exploration, development and production company with a focus on producing bitumen and expanding its in-situ oil sands projects located near Fort McMurray, Alberta

Free
Message: Things do not have to end in a disaster, you know

Krissy

A joint venture may not be bad if put together right. DG's history though is not good. Luke wasn't good, borrowing a year in advance was terrible, PDP is weak, POD 1 curtailment was terrible, so although I think a good joint venture could be put together I don't think it will happen and I am not for it.

As far as no rush to expand, well they have the first 20K on the go and 30K to be added by 2015 doesn't make it a rush, but again DG seems to like to jump the gun which makes him a sitting target for being taken.

I agree that with good management cash flow will be fine in 2011.

There is only 1 debenture and that is convertible by 2012 and it will be converted. You don't seem to get this point. $100 million debenture will not be paid back it will be converted.

The next due is the first lien note of $200 million in 2014 and then $587 in 2015.

If they go a JV route for example it might not be bad to have someone pay for the infrastructure for POD 3 in return for a %, say 50%, of the BBL/d. This would give CLL 5000 extra BBL/d at no cash outlay. Which would feed into the further expansions.

If they go it alone, and are prudent with their cash they would have to raise about $300 million. Maybe selling PDP would net $100 million by that time which would mean $200 million more then what they owe now.

Waiting for further expansion might not be bad, but DG doesn't seem to be patient enough

Share
New Message
Please login to post a reply