Welcome To the Copper Fox Metals Inc. HUB On AGORACOM

CUU own 25% Schaft Creek: proven/probable min. reserves/940.8m tonnes = 0.27% copper, 0.19 g/t gold, 0.018% moly and 1.72 g/t silver containing: 5.6b lbs copper, 5.8m ounces gold, 363.5m lbs moly and 51.7m ounces silver; (Recoverable CuEq 0.46%)

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Message: Thoughts on Timing

Yep, this is DumDum3 from SH.

Sorry, was a bit hungover when I wrote my last message..will try to be clearer regarding my thoughts on timing.

  • Teck will not/cannot act before release of BFS (they can't, as they've participated in its review, and therefore they are in possession of material undisclosed information).
  • I had thought PREVIOUSLY (pre-NovaGold/Galore), that they would act one way or the other as soon as the BFS was released, as there is no point for delaying that decision. They've seen the BFS and they should know what they're gonna do. Major companies generally don't fuss around with decisions like this that they already have sufficient info to make. Dragging things out could see CUU tick up (or tick down), either way, it's uncertain and not worth/and risky protracting.
  • However, as a result of the NovaGold/Galore sales process and Teck's 90 day ROFR, they will most likely not act with any urgency on CUU as they need to see how the Galore process plays out (Lindsay has said this).
  • So, they will likely take their full 120 days or at least as much time as possible pending outcome of Galore (and that's after release of BFS).
  • The last CUU press release clearly opened the door for the possibility of further delays in the release of BFS, and based on CONSISTENT track record (don't be in denial people), it's a real possibility.
  • Among the universe of prospective buyers looking for massive "pounds in the ground" reserves, anyone considering NovaGold's assets would also have considered CUU's (the universe of such buyers is really not that big).
  • Doesn't matter if CUU's assets are superior and more economic, you have a decided and committed seller in NovaGold that has publicly stated that they will sell their interests by year end.
  • They've already engaged two major banks (JP Morgan and RBC).
  • Those banks will hustle.
  • It will get sold.
  • One less buyer.
  • All the while, CUU is still dilly dallying about the inclusion of silver (this issue remains UNRESOLVED FOR ALMOST A YEAR...C'mon Elmer!!)
  • Too much uncertainty.
  • There are more certain bets out there for me.
  • I'm done waiting.

As I've said before, CUU will inevitably get sold and I do believe patience will be rewarded, but the markets are moving..

Oh, and for those that think the current share price will not be a factor in any buy-out price, sorry, but that's just not how it works. Any CEO of a publicly traded company that agrees to pay a 4 times premium for the shares of another publicly traded company, would be turfed and then shamed, publicly.

All the best.

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