Re:My take for what it's worth
in response to
by
posted on
Nov 01, 2013 12:39AM
CUU own 25% Schaft Creek: proven/probable min. reserves/940.8m tonnes = 0.27% copper, 0.19 g/t gold, 0.018% moly and 1.72 g/t silver containing: 5.6b lbs copper, 5.8m ounces gold, 363.5m lbs moly and 51.7m ounces silver; (Recoverable CuEq 0.46%)
RT,
Do my numbers make sense:
Here is why I think Teck can develop Schaft Creek and Fort Hills at the same time-
Assuming an average cashflow per quarter of $300Million with the assumption of higher metal prices through 2014-17.
Financial Outlook for Teck
Cashflow Capital expenditure
2.3 billion in cash Schaft Creek buyout (Ex. 2 Billion)
2.0 billion in finance borrowing
250 million Q4 2013 Fort Hills Schaft Creek
1.2 billion 2014 735 Million + 800 Million= 1.535 Billion
1.2 billion 2015 735 Million + 800 Million= 1.535 Billion
1.2 billion 2016 735 Million + 800 Million= 1.535 Billion
1.2 billion 2017 735 Million + 800 Million= 1.535 Billion
Total funds: 9.35 billion 8.14 Billion
1.21 Billion surplus: This could be used for other investments, kept in cash, etc.
These numbers assume Teck not finding a partner to help reduce costs at Schaft Creek, higher metal prices, a 2 billion dollar takeover of Copper Fox based off a better NPV, no other capital costs within Teck's plan.