Re: NPV of 171.2M. tonnes of waste within pit shell (Big correction)
in response to
by
posted on
Dec 13, 2013 02:58PM
CUU own 25% Schaft Creek: proven/probable min. reserves/940.8m tonnes = 0.27% copper, 0.19 g/t gold, 0.018% moly and 1.72 g/t silver containing: 5.6b lbs copper, 5.8m ounces gold, 363.5m lbs moly and 51.7m ounces silver; (Recoverable CuEq 0.46%)
I noticed as did some of you that I had made a big mistake in previous post. I understated the amount of revenue from Copper and Molydebdum - just a 1000X too small.
Thanks youngmoney for pointing out all the other ways that this mine can be improved.
copper |
0.250% |
958,720,000 lbs |
$3.25 lb |
$3,115,840,000 |
gold |
0.16 g/ton |
856,000 oz |
$1,445/oz |
$1,236,920,000 |
molybdenum |
0.018% |
69,027,840 lbs |
$14.64/lb |
$1,010,567,578 |
silver |
1.58 g/ton |
8,453,000 oz |
$27.74/oz |
$ 234,486,220 |
|
|
|
|
$ 5,597,813,798 |
Now assume that the metal recovering is only 86% $ 4,814,119,866 It will take additional costs (processing) to extract the metals from the rock. I totally guessed at 10% $ 481,411,987 This gives an expected net revenue of $ 4,332,707,879
Year |
NPV @ 8% |
|
|
1.00 |
|
1 |
0.92 |
|
2 |
0.85 |
|
3 |
0.78 |
|
4 |
0.72 |
|
5 |
0.66 |
|
6 |
0.61 |
|
7 |
0.56 |
$ 241,698,636 |
8 |
0.51 |
$ 222,362,746 |
9 |
0.47 |
$ 204,573,726 |
10 |
0.43 |
$ 188,207,828 |
11 |
0.40 |
$ 173,151,202 |
12 |
0.37 |
$ 159,299,105 |
13 |
0.34 |
$ 146,555,177 |
14 |
0.31 |
$ 134,830,763 |
15 |
0.29 |
$ 124,044,302 |
16 |
0.26 |
$ 114,120,758 |
17 |
0.24 |
|
18 |
0.22 |
|
19 |
0.21 |
|
20 |
0.19 |
|
|
NPV @ 8% |
$1,708,844,242 |
|
|
|
From BFS |
Base case NPV |
$ 513,000,000 |
|
|
|
|
New Potential NPV |
$2,221,844,242 |
So under these assumptions, the NPV at 8% would go from $513 million to $2,221 million (much better than the $963 million stated earlier) Also the NPV at 5% would go from $1,694 million to $4,122 million (previous post had it $2,334 million)