With the understanding that Sumitomo will pay in total anywhere between 4 to 5 times their share of EBITDA based on the First 5 Full Years, simplified the model even further.
Options |
1 |
2 |
3 |
LT copper price (lb) |
3.25 |
3.50 |
3.75 |
SC EBITDA (100%) First 5 Full Years ($M) Ref. 2021 PEA |
695 |
755 |
815 |
SC EBITDA (25%) First 5 Full Years ($M) |
174 |
189 |
204 |
EBITDA multiple used for valuation |
4 |
5 |
6 |
Equivalent valuation ($M) for a 25% interest in SC @sanction decision
|
695 |
944 |
1223 |
Estimated number of years left before a sanction decision |
2 |
2 |
2 |
Discount rate per year pre-sanction decision |
12% |
12% |
12% |
Valuation for 25% of SC (2022 $M US) |
554 |
752 |
975 |
Payment terms |
Shares and/or cash |
Additional payments to Copper Fox (depending above option chosen) |
Payable annually during the First 5 Full Years of production |
1 |
2 |
3 |
25% of the incremental EBITDA vs. the SC 2021 PEA up to $3.75 US copper |
12.5% of the incremental EBITDA vs. the SC 2021 PEA up to $3.75 US copper |
N/A |
12.5% of the incremental EBITDA vs. the SC 2021 PEA above $3.75 US copper |
6.25% of the incremental EBITDA vs. the SC 2021 PEA above $3.75 US copper |
N/A |
+ the milestone payments ($40M CA) per the SCJV agreement
IMO.
MoneyK