Please pick\post the number that most closely corresponds to what you feel to be the most likely scenario (or post an additional scenario not listed below).

1. Bureaucratic infighting including fear on the part of Mibam to take responsibility for approving the permit.

2. Hugo's indirect method of renegotiating the terms of KRY\GRZ projects

3. Hugo's way of painting himself as the hero by overiding Minamb with a wave of his hand and creating jobs for the downtrodden inhabitants of Km 88...all of whom are publicly calling for the permit to be issued.

4. The news delivered yesterday will stand. Permits are denied out of genuine concern for the environment on the part of all parties. including Hugo. End of discussion.

5. The news delivered yesterday will stand but "environmental concern" is a red herring excuse to hide the real motive...to work a future deal with political allies (i.e. Russia) that will help consolidate Hugo's political power and work in concert against the imperialists to the north. Gold, in this scenario, is a strategic asset given the global currency situation and the implications for oil.

6. Corruption on the part of a "rogue bureaucrat"