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Message: Fitch rates Venezuela's sovereign credit at B-plus / and rate Chavez at F-OFF

Fitch rates Venezuela's sovereign credit at B-plus / and rate Chavez at F-OFF

posted on Feb 26, 2010 11:04AM

Venezuela currency regime weighs on credit - Fitch-UPDATE 1

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In January, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez ordered a devaluation of the bolivar currency, cutting the exchange rate of the currency against the U.S. dollar by half for oil income and for goods deemed nonessential.

Venezuela, an OPEC member, is South America's largest oil exporter.

"The January 2010 official devaluation is not likely to suffice permanently to correct present distortions in the absence of broader changes in terms of economic policy, i.e. rationalization of the fiscal and monetary policy mix consistent with price stability, reduced oil dependency and sustainable growth," Fitch said.

The devaluation set a dual exchange rate and means the government and state-run oil company PDVSA will receive 4.3 bolivars for every oil dollar, helping finance the OPEC member's budget and reducing borrowing needs for the year.

For basic items like food and government purchases, the new system fixes the bolivar at 2.60 per dollar. The bolivar had been fixed at 2.15 since 2005.

Chavez, in office for 11 years, has nationalized most heavy industries and expropriated large farms. The country is largely dependent on imports for consumer goods while business and finance are tightly regulated.

The economy contracted 2.9 percent, while inflation rose 25 percent last year.

Venezuela's U.S. dollar-denominated sovereign bond yield spreads are 976 basis points above comparable U.S. Treasuries, the widest margin found on the JPMorgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus <11EMJ><.JPMEMBIPLUS> index. That compared to 799 basis points just after the devaluation was announced. (Reporting by Dan Bases; Additional reporting by Caryn Trokie in New York; Editing by Jan Paschal)

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