Re: Ravensource Fund.
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posted on
Mar 14, 2019 07:48PM
Crystallex International Corporation is a Canadian-based gold company with a successful record of developing and operating gold mines in Venezuela and elsewhere in South America
Some background info on this here.
Crystallex International Corp. (“Crystallex”)
Ravensource has a significant investment in Crystallex’s 9.375% Senior Notes. We receive more calls from Ravensource investors on this investment than all others combined. Investors generally see Venezuela and panic or are willing to sell at any price. However, most of our investments —debt of bankrupt companies, for example — are counter-intuitive to most investors. Our contrarian approach emphasizes analytical rigor over emotion, providing us with the conviction necessary to pickup bargains that provide an attractive return if our analysis is correct and a margin-of-safety that helps protects us when we are wrong. Crystallex is a perfect example.
As asynopsis of our investment thesis, Venezuela owes Crystallex approximately U$1.5bn from an International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputesdamages award (the “ICSID Award”). In turn, Crystallex owes its debtor-in-possession lendersapproximately U$120mm and its other class of creditors — of which the Senior Notes comprise more than 95% —over U$250mm. As long as Crystallex receives at least U$370mm, or just 25% of the amount it is owed, the Senior Notes will receive up to $240 for each $100 of par value of bonds. Under that scenario, Ravensource would earn a return in excess of 200% over and above the June 30th, 2018, market price of the Senior Notes.
In November 2017, Crystallex and Venezuela entered into a settlement agreement (the“Settlement Agreement”) whereby Venezuela is required to make a series of payments to Crystallex while Crystallex is required to stand down on its legal actions to collect the ICSID Award. After paying Crystallex US$43 million, Venezuela stopped making payments to Crystallex in April 2018, releasing Crystallex to go after Venezuela’s assets.
The magic of an ICSID Award is its enforceability outside of Venezuela with the right to seize assets in the event of non-payment.Venezuela has significant assets inthe U.S. and other jurisdictions that recognize ICSID judgments. Citgo Petroleum Corporation(“CITGO”) —Venezuela’s U.S.-based refiner, transporter and marketer of transportation fuels, petrochemicals and other industrial products—alone should be more than sufficient to fully repay the Senior Notes with plenty of leftovers. With CITGO now firmly in Crystallex’s sights, a tipping point is potentially on the horizon that could have an extraordinary positive impact on the value of our Senior Note investment. We remain optimistic of the prospects on this truly esoteric investment.