Welcome to my world( Not mine copied)
in response to
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posted on
Sep 23, 2009 10:57AM
Abitibi has produced more than 180 M ounces of gold and more than 450 Mt of Cu-Zn ore to date
Market tops are THE most frustrating time to be a sensible investor. Common sense and analysis tell you that the market is out of control and running on thin ice… but as investing legend John Templeton put it, “the market can stay irrational a lot longer than you can stay solvent.”
Indeed, tops are only formed after periods of prolonged irrationality. And once you attain a state of mania (a time when stocks are completely detached from reality) even minor announcements (or outright bearish announcements) can be spun to look bullish and help stocks eek out a few more percentage gains.
Consider today’s market for example. Over the weekend, China and the US announced an informal trade war (each country placing tariffs on the others’ exports). This is HORRIBLE for the economy and stock market (it’s also an eerie repeat of the ‘30s situation in which a trade war prolonged and protracted the Depression). And yet… stocks managed to rally on Monday because President Obama presented a speech to Wall Street executives about “doing the right thing.”
Let’s consider this for a moment. The impact of an actual economic reality that is HORRIBLE for stocks was eclipsed by a political figure (who’s failed to reform anything) lecturing the perpetrators of the biggest Financial Crisis in history on reform. This would be hilarious if it weren’t real.
Now, market tops are typically marked by desperation, meaning that market participants become desperate to cling to the “bull” story in the face of worsening realities. This desperation involves:
This defines today’s market action to a “T.” Every announcement played