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Message: Five Silver Mines In Mexico First Majestic’s Keith Neumeyer Talks Expansion and

Five Silver Mines In Mexico First Majestic’s Keith Neumeyer Talks Expansion and Consolidation

Kevin Michael Grace

http://resourceswire.com/2013/02/five-silver-mines-in-mexico/2/

February 11, 2013

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Del Toro: A $150-million investment.

First Majestic Silver Corp T.FR announced January 25 initial production at its Del Toro Silver Mine in Zacatecas, Mexico. Underground development at Del Toro has produced 97,700 tonnes of stockpiled ore which supplies feed to the processing plant. Commercialization of the 1,000 tonnes per day (tpd) flotation circuit is anticipated by April 1, 2013. Phase-two startup is expected by July 1, 2013, when the mill is expected to run at a combined throughput rate of 2,000 tpd. The third, final phase of production (2,000 tpd flotation and 2,000 tpd cyanidation) is expected by 3Q 2014, when Del Toro is expected to become the company’s largest operation, producing approximately 6 million silver ounces per year and significant amounts of lead and zinc.

President/CEO Keith Neumeyer spoke to Kevin Michael Grace February 6.

RW: How does Del Toro advance First Majestic?

KN: Del Toro gives us our fifth mine in Mexico, which I think is quite significant. Del Toro is in the State of Zacatecas. It’s our first investment there, and it will actually become our largest investment. When it’s all done in mid-2014, we’ll have spent over $150 million on that mine to get it up and running.

RW: How much of an increase in silver production will this represent?

KN: Del Toro will contribute close to three million ounces in 2013 and close to six million ounces in 2014.

RW: On January 9, you announced a quarterly record of 2.6 million silver-equivalent ounces. How much production do you expect in 2013?

KN: Silver ounces will be in the 10.5 million to 11 million ounce range, and silver equivalent will be around 13 million ounces.

RW: How are you doing with cash costs?

KN: Pretty good. Our fourth quarter isn’t public yet, but over the first nine months of 2012, we produced silver at around $9 an ounce, and I don’t expect that to change much.

RW: On December 19, you announced a $50-million forward-sale contract on future lead and zinc production. This was to raise cash without dilution?

KN: Working capital for a company to continue to grow without diluting its shareholders. We sold one-third of our lead and zinc production for the next three years.

RW: How much cash does First Majestic have now?

KN: About $100 million.

RW: Are you looking at further acquisitions after Orko Silver V.OK?

KN: There is nothing hot on the burner, but we always have one eye open. We had two acquisitions in one year, and that’s pretty aggressive.

RW: How big does your company want to get?

KN: We’re growing pretty quickly.

RW: Many people expect a breakout in the price of silver and a big change in its ratio to gold.

KN: I’m a big ratio guy, and I think that’s what it’s going to come down to at the end of the day. If you look at the earth’s crust, there is approximately 15:1 silver to gold in the earth’s crust, and we’re mining at a 10:1 ratio right now, so for every ounce of gold that’s mined 10 ounces of silver gets mined. So we’re actually mining at less than earth’s ratio, which suggests that silver mines are quite rare and are becoming rarer.

Consumption of silver is actually 50 times greater than gold. There is approximately the exact amount of dollars being spent on gold versus silver, and at a 50:1 ratio that would suggest that there is 50 times more physical silver being purchased daily than gold.

KN: So the 50:1 price ratio makes no sense; it just can’t stay that way; and it will change. I expect we’ll overshoot to something in the order of 10:1, ultimately. It won’t probably stay there for long, but I think longterm we’ll get quite used to silver trading in the 15:1 to 20:1 range. It will stay there for decades, and that will be the new norm. But we have to obviously get through the current market. I don’t have a crystal ball, but I think that it’s reasonable to suggest that we’re seeing a change occurring. We’re seeing the repricing of a commodity in front of our eyes as a result of supply and demand.

I’m very bullish on silver, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see it trading at over $100 in the next couple of years—Keith Neumeyer

Eighty percent of silver gets consumed, and most of it gets dumped into waste dumps never to be seen again. I think silver is a strategic commodity; I don’t look at it as a precious metal at all. I think silver is actually the single most important metal in our current environment. I’m very bullish on silver, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see it trading at over $100 in the next couple of years.

RW: Can you comment on the recent changes in your share valuation?

KN: The stock has come under pressure due to the Orko transaction. It’s a very common occurrence. It happened when we bought Silvermex in April 2012. What happens is you get these arbitrage funds that short your stock and go long on the company you’re acquiring. That difference between the spread, they call it the arbitrage trade, between the two stocks is their profit. It’s a for-sure profit, unless for some reason the transaction doesn’t occur, but they’re on top of that. In most cases, these transactions do finalize, and these institutions walk away with their profits.

Unfortunately, what happens is it puts an enormous amount of pressure on the buyer’s stock, particularly in an environment like now. The Orko acquisition was announced in December, and there are very trading volumes at the end of any year. So you get this arbitrage trade being taken on in a very low-volume environment, and the attitude towards equities has been quite poor as well. Many mine stocks have been quite weak over the last several weeks. But over the last week or so, we’re seeing some stability in the mine sector, which is nice to see.

We’re seeing some stability return to First Majestic’s stock, but I don’t think you’ll see it return to its normal levels until the Orko transaction is completed. But this does create a buying opportunity for new investors looking to buy a company which is basically on sale.

RW: To sum up?

KN: Things are going really well, and the expansion is going quite well. We closed the Silvermex acquisition July 3, and the costs at La Guitarra have come down quite nicely. In July, costs were over $105 a tonne, and now they’re closer to $60 a tonne. So in a matter of six months we’ve been almost able to cut costs in half as a result of making some improvements and modernizing the facility.

At press time, First Majestic had 116.8 million shares trading at $18.40 for a market cap of $2.15 billion.

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This was written by Kevin Michael Grace. Posted on at 8:29 pm. Filed under resource. Bookmark the permalink. Follow comments here with the RSS feed. Post a comment or leave a trackback
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