Ed Steer this morning
posted on
Oct 24, 2008 08:37AM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
From Ed Steer:
Gold's peak price came at 3:00 a.m. Thursday morning New York time...while the thinly traded Hong Kong market was open...and less than half an hour before the London open. This time gold got sold off on the London a.m. fix. There was a spike bottom a few dollars below the $700 mark at 9:00 a.m. in New York. From there, gold rose quickly to about $726 right through the London p.m. fix...before running into the 'usual suspects' at the London close. There was huge price volatility yesterday, with inter-day price swings of $20 or $30...unheard of only months ago.
Then there's silver. The silver low came at precisely the same time as gold's...no surprise there. Silver really took off at the London p.m. gold fix. Its high for the day occurred at the London close. Then either JPMorgan or HSBC, USA hammered the price. Thursday was a hugely volatile day for silver too.
I'm not really sure what to read into one day's worth of trading. Normally this kind of price volatility occurs at major tops and bottoms, but with '2 or 3' US bullion banks supervising PM prices while the world's financial system implodes many times faster than the world's central banks can print money, it's really hard to make a call. Since today is Friday...and anything can, and probably will, happen...I'd rather reserve judgement until my Saturday rant.
The gold open interest for Wednesday fell 3,546 contracts to 315,926 contracts...which is 45% off its highs. The gold price (which is being caused by spec long liquidation on the Comex) is collapsing in the face of record investment demand. As for silver, it's o.i. actually rose 57 contracts...which is unbelievable since the price got smoked between Tuesday's and Wednesday's close! This mystery won't be solved until next Friday...Hallowe'en...when the relevant information from Wednesday will be in the COT report. Today's report will be out at 3:30 Eastern time and I'll have it for you on Saturday.
Not a lot of gold news today except what you saw in the price action. I see that Dennis Gartman is back into the gold market going long 'one unit' of gold. The last time he went long, it lasted a couple of hours. The usual NY commentator said..."On recent form, whatever stops set in this trade (Gartman) will make a short-term low in the gold price." Let's see how he makes out this time. GLD liquidated about 8 tonnes of gold yesterday and the SLV remained unchanged...again.
To show you how bad things really are, here's a graph of the Baltic Exchange Dry Index. I've been watching it every day for the last couple of weeks, but decided to post it today, because it has now fallen over 90% since its peak six months ago. That should tell you a lot about world trade.
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