Ed Steer this morning
posted on
Feb 20, 2009 06:50AM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
From Ed Steer:
Despite gold's best attempts to rally in the Sydney market, a determined seller took the price down once Hong Kong opened. It rallied a bit until 1:00 p.m. in Hong Kong (midnight in New York) and then got sold off again until shortly after London opened. A rally commenced until shortly after the Comex opened...and that was it for the day...as gold was capped every time it tried to rally over $980. Estimated volume was 121,349 contracts, with a switch effect of 8,040.
Silver was similar...with its top price coming at 1:00 p.m. in Hong Kong. A small rally in London was crushed...as silver came under selling pressure about an hour before the Comex opened. After the Comex close, silver did manage to gain a bit in electronic trading on the Globex.
The precious metals trading pattern sure looked like prices wanted to rise, but were beaten into submission by one or more not-for-profit sellers on every minor rally attempt. It's too soon to say whether one should be alarmed with today's action. I'm not. No price ever went straight up...and if we 'back and fill' here for a bit...that's perfectly all right by me. But having said all that, the 50-day moving average is $100 below the current price.
Wednesday's open interest showed another increase for gold...up 4,496 contracts to 366,115 contracts. Silver o.i. rose a smallish 367 contracts to 99,692. Considering the size of the price rise in both metals on Wednesday, these aren't overly large numbers...especially for silver. On the Comex, another 353 gold contracts were delivered...with JPMorgan and Prudential Bache being the big issuers [345 contracts]...and Goldman Sachs was the big stopper [332 contracts]. As these contracts were delivered into, the open interest declined accordingly, as 353 longs [and their associated shorts] were extinguished simultaneously upon delivery. It's interesting to note that a new bunch of longs [over 400 contracts] were added yesterday, and are now standing for delivery. Demand is not slowing down any. And lastly, Comex silver warehouse stocks were virtually unchanged on Thursday.
In other gold news, I see in a story posted at Kitco that "Gold demand rose 26% in the fourth quarter as investors bought the precious metal as a store of value amid a worsening global economy, the producer-funded World Gold Council said. Demand rose to 1,036.5 metric tonnes from 821.8 tonnes a year earlier, the London-based council said in a report." The usual N.Y. commentator stated..."The WGC 'Gold Demand Trends' also reported that China's gold consumption rose by 31.8% last year to 432.1 tonnes...while India's fell 14% to 660 tonnes"...on Tuesday and Wednesday "the GLD ETF added 22.94 and 15.29 tonnes respectively. Even if there is some double counting, the pace of alleged gold accumulation is startling..."
In other news, I see in a Bloomberg story that the Bank of Japan will buy $11 billion in corporate bonds to ease the credit squeeze. The printing presses are now running there, too. And in a story that was posted at businessinsider.com [which I shamelessly stole from lemetropolecafé.com] is this headline..."Stanford Employees Yelled "Ponzi Scheme!" 3 Years Ago". You don't believe it, you say? Well then...click here.
And from Casey Research's own John Grandits is this absolutely disgusting story of another Ponzi scheme that the SEC just put an end to. The headline reads "SEC Uncovers Ponzi Scheme Targeting Deaf Investors". You just can't make this stuff up! The story is linked here.
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