Ed Steer today
posted on
Mar 28, 2009 07:23AM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
From Ed Steer:
Gold didn't do much during Far East trading on Friday morning. However, that all changed shortly after London opened for the day. From there, and until shortly after the Comex open, gold got sold off $15. A slight recovery ended at the London close...and the low of the day was set in electronic trading shortly after trading ended in the Comex trading session.
The silver price followed a similar pattern, but the selloff was even more pronounced. The low price was set shortly after Comex began trading. Ted Butler said that it was the same old pattern, hit the metals when they are thinly traded, and then keep them down throughout New York trading, where the price can be easily controlled.
Open interest changes for Thursday are as follows. Gold o.i dropped a whopping 18,379 contracts to 371,826...and silver o.i declined a smallish 205 contracts to 92,854.
The Commitment of Traders report for silver showed that the bullion banks in the Commercial category reduced their net short position by 2,159 contracts...which is a fair chunk. By the way, one silver contract is equal to 5,000 troy ounces. In gold, the bullion banks actually increased their net short position by 5,605 contracts. One gold contract is 100 troy ounces. In physical terms, the bullion banks are now net short 18.1 million ounces of gold. In a nutshell, the COT was bullish for silver...and bearish for gold. To see these changes in living, breathing colour...click here for the COT graph in silver, and click here for the graph in gold.
In other gold news, there were only a handful of deliveries in both gold and silver on the Comex on Friday...nothing worth highlighting here. The U.S. Mint updated their eagles numbers again by a smallish amount in both. In gold eagles, another 7,500 were added to March's total...bringing it up to 103,500. In silver eagles, another 43,000 were reported....bringing March's total up to 2,450,000. Even though there are still two business day left in the month, these are probably the final numbers for March. Year-to-date for the first quarter of 2009, there have been 309,000 gold eagles and a whopping 6,475,000 silver eagles minted. These are huge numbers...and a record number for silver eagles. Over at the Comex-approved warehouses, a smallish 31,320 ounces of silver were added. The GLD ETF added around 75,000 ounces...and SLV was unchanged.
There was an interesting gold story posted at iafrica.com that was filed from Cape Town, South Africa on Friday . "The [South African] Reserve Bank is planning to increase its hoard of gold, as it juggles the different currencies in which its reserves are denominated. At present, according to Governor Tito Mboweni, around 11% of the country's reserves are in gold. The bank governor "said he has no target for the gold reserves to reach, but will just begin to increase the proportion held in gold slowly."
For some perspective into the all-important U.S. real estate market, today's chart illustrates the U.S. median price of a single-family home over the past 39 years. Not only did housing prices increase at a rapid rate from 1991 to 2005, but that rate accelerated. Housing prices have dropped 33% from the 2005 peak. In fact, a home buyer who bought the median priced single-family home at the 1979 peak, has actually seen that home lose value [1.6% loss]. Not an impressive performance considering that nearly three decades have passed. It is worth noting that the median priced home has moved back to the top of a trading range that existed from the late 1970s in the mid-1990s. [As I've said many times...call me in 2013 and we'll talk about a housing bottom in the U.S. - Ed]
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