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Message: Another Canary Sings

Another Canary Sings

posted on Apr 13, 2009 02:32PM

It only took a few days but a KBW analyst has already debunked Wells Fargo's claimed stellar but highly suspect results from last week. As usual, it was nothing more than an accounting shell game, which has become a common WFC tactic.

Nouriel Roubini had some choice word for Geithner's stress tests when he stated: "Actual macro data for 2009 are already worse than the more adverse scenario in the stress tests. These are not stress tests but rather fudge tests".

With falling volumes, it appears this recent bear market rally is about ready to fizzle out. As it does, expect media spin and bankster treachery to increase, which is what we have witnessed over the past few days. There is no doubt financial fraud is increasing in the Western financial system and regulators/governments have either turned a blind eye and/or actually assisted the perpetrators. Thus, on its current path and unfortunately, it seems a revolution may be required to cleanse the current system.

Nice PPT save today - VHF


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Wells Fargo May Need $50 Billion in Capital, KBW Says

By Ari Levy

April 13 (Bloomberg) -- Wells Fargo & Co., the second- biggest U.S. home lender, may need $50 billion to pay back the federal government and cover loan losses as the economic slump deepens, according to KBW Inc.’s Frederick Cannon.

KBW expects $120 billion of “stress” losses at Wells Fargo, assuming the recession continues through the first quarter of 2010 and unemployment reaches 12 percent, Cannon wrote today in a report. The San Francisco-based bank may need to raise $25 billion on top of the $25 billion it owes the U.S. Treasury for the industry bailout plan, he wrote.

First-quarter net income rose 50 percent to about $3 billion, Wells Fargo said last week in announcing preliminary results that topped the most optimistic Wall Street estimates and sparked a 32 percent jump in the stock. The bank attributed the profit to a surge in mortgage originations and revenue from Wachovia Corp., acquired in December. Full results are scheduled for April 22.

“Details were scarce and we believe that much of the positive news in the preliminary results had to do with merger accounting, revised accounting standards and mortgage default moratoriums, rather than underlying trends,” wrote Cannon, who downgraded the shares to “underperform” from “market perform.” “We expect earnings and capital to be under pressure due to continued economic weakness.”

Wells Fargo raised its provision for loan losses by $4.6 billion in the quarter, below Cannon’s estimate of $5.4 billion. FBR Capital Markets analyst Paul Miller wrote after the announcement last week that he expected a $6.25 billion increase.

Charge-offs

Net charge-offs were $3.3 billion in the quarter, compared with $2.8 billion in the previous period at Wells Fargo and $3.3 billion at Wachovia. The current numbers are artificially low because consumers received tax refunds and a there was a moratorium on some mortgage defaults, wrote Cannon, who predicts a “re-acceleration” of charge-offs in the second quarter.

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