We turn then to the metals market first, noting that in
the past two or three days gold has fallen precipitously
in US dollar terms, but it has fallen even more
precipitously in EUR terms or in terms of the British
pound sterling. When we issued our strong and
“official” recommendation earlier this week to vacate all
long gold positions… which we held only in terms of
the EUR, the Swiss franc, the British Pound Sterling
and the Yen; we were not long of gold in US dollar
terms and we wish to be quite clear about this issue at
this point so as to avoid any and all confusion… we
thought perhaps that gold could fall from €1005 to
perhaps €945-950 over the course of two or three
weeks. We thought a correction of that magnitude
would take at least that long… perhaps longer. Never
did we think it would take less than three days.
However, that is what has happened, and prices have
fallen far enough and swiftly enough to cajole us back
to the long side once again… gingerly.
We shall therefore return to our position previously
held, long of gold firstly in EUR terms and perhaps too
in terms of Sterling. We’ll be even more enthusiastic
about returning to this position should we see spot gold
in US dollar terms trading upward through $1195 later
today, or should we see spot gold holding at or near
$1185 while the EUR trades back down through
1.2330. Either would ramp up our interest… materially: