One thing about Arch Crawford is that he rarely minces words. He doesn't use many words like "might" and "could" like a lot of writers do and relies more on "will" and the like. I believe he will be in for some heavy shots if his forecast falls short, though he seems to be giving himself a two year window for aftershocks whatever they may be. In any event, doesn't hurt to stock up on more provisions just in case.
Could be that it was indeed the cartel that was holding all those gold puts that caught everyone's attention recently. What a racket. Buy lots of puts, tank the market, cover the puts and another bunch of your shorts, ring the cash register. Free markets my arse.