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Message: Ed Steer this morning

Russia's Central Bank Adds 700,000 Ounces of Gold to Their Reserves in September

Oct
21

U.S. dollar falls 125 basis points... gold rises one whole dollar. Goldman Sachs gets ready to hand out $13 billion in bonuses. Rare earth prices soar. Iran's gold reserves hit record highs... and much more.

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Yesterday in Gold and Silver

After Tuesday's bushwhacking, gold didn't do much in Far East trading on Wednesday. It took the gold price about seven hours after the beginning of trading on Wednesday to rise three dollars to the $1,341 spot level by 2:00 p.m. Hong Kong time. Then the price sat there for almost eight hours before getting sold off at 8:45 a.m. Eastern time in New York... this was despite the fact that the dollar lost almost 60 basis points during that period of time! Gold's low price of the day came shortly before 9:30 a.m. at $1,332.00 spot.

Then, during the next 90 minutes, the dollar crashed by another 70 basis points... with the bottom coming at precisely 11:00 a.m. Eastern time. During that time period, gold managed to rise a whole twelve dollars. From that point, both the dollar and gold basically flat-lined until the close of Wednesday trading at 5:15 p.m. Eastern time yesterday afternoon.

From the dollar's absolute high early on Wednesday morning in the Far East... right up until 11:00 a.m. in New York about fourteen hours later... the dollar got clocked for 125 basis points. Gold's net gain... about a dollar.

In case you've forgotten, on Tuesday the dollar gained just under 100 basis points... and gold got hammered for a $35 loss.

Silver fared a lot better during Wednesday's trading... tacking on about 50 cents while gold was gaining that dollar.

What can I add to the dollar's performance on Wednesday that I haven't already mentioned. The 3-day graph is here. The high tick occurred around 10:00 a.m. Hong Kong time... with the low coming at precisely 11:00 a.m. Eastern time about fourteen hours later. After that, the dollar did not budge off its low for the rest of the New York session.

The shares hit their high around 11:00 a.m... just as the gold rally in New York came to an end. Then they basically traded sideways from there, with the HUI closing up 1.94%.

The GLD ETF had another small withdrawal on Wednesday. This time it was 29,305 ounces. There was no change reported in SLV.

The U.S. Mint reported selling another 5,000 ounces of gold in their gold eagle program... but didn't report selling any silver eagles.

The Comex-approved depositories reported that they received 900,971 ounces of silver... all of it going into Brink's Inc. The link to the action is

But, as I've mentioned in my last two columns, yesterday was the day that The Central Bank of the Russian Federation updated their website with their gold purchases for September. As you've already seen from the headline, that amount was a real chunky 700,000 troy ounces. Year-to-date they've purchased 3.8 million ounces of gold for their reserves... over 118 tonnes... and now hold 24.3 million ounces. That's an 18.5% increase from the beginning of this year. That's a lot, dear reader.

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¤ Critical Reads

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A Surprise Boost for Euro from China

There weren't many stories of interest floating around the Internet yesterday. One of the few that I did find, is this piece by F. William Engdahl that he posted on his website about two weeks ago. It was sent to me by reader G.G. The embattled Euro has gotten a surpriseboost from an unexpected quarter―China. The country with the world’s largest foreignexchange currency reserves, China, has pledged to support Greek debt as well as the Euro in what is clearly a geopolitical decision. The headline reads "A Surprise Boost for Euro from China". It's not a long read but, as part of the 'Great Game' that's going on in that part of the world, I consider it to be well worth your time... and the link is here.

Goldman Sachs pay and bonus pool hits $13 billion

I see that the "great vampire squid" is hording another obscene amount of money for bonuses. Goldman Sachs has so far set aside $13.1bn (£8.33bn) for pay and bonuses this year despite reporting a 40 percent fall in earnings for the third quarter. The story, courtesy of reader Roy Stephens, is from The Telegraph... and it bears the headline "Goldman Sachs pay and bonus pool hits $13 billion". The link is here.

New York Fed Faces 'Inherent Conflict' in Mortgage Buybacks

Here's a Bloomberg story datelined today. The headline reads "New York Fed Faces 'Inherent Conflict' in Mortgage Buybacks". The Federal Reserve Bank of NewYork’s effort to recover taxpayer money used in bailouts during the crisis may be at odds with its mission to ensure the stability of the financial system. The link to this rather longish article is here.

Rare-Earth Prices Soar as China Quotas Hit Manufacturers Abroad

The rare earth story is almost becoming a precious metals story with the direction that the price of these minerals is headed. Here's a Bloomberg piece that's hot off the press. It bears the headline "Rare-Earth Prices Soar as China Quotas Hit Manufacturers Abroad". Actions by China, which produces more than 90 percent of the world’s rare earths, have drawn criticism from U.S. lawmakers and officials in Japan and Germany. China reduced its second-half export quota for the minerals by 72 percent in July. It is now further restricting exports, according to industry participants. It's a longish story, but a must read in my opinion... and the link is here.

Iran's gold reserves hit record high

I only have two precious metals-related stories today. The first one was sent to me by reader 'David in California'... and is from Iran of all places. The story is pretty short on specifics, but it gives a hint that Iran has been purchasing physical gold... but doesn't say how much it has bought, or even how much they currently hold. It's a short piece... and all of the gold commentary is in the first two paragraphs. It was posted over at kuwaitsamachar.comearlier in the day. The headline reads "Iran's gold reserves hit record high"... and the link is here.

Speculators polish up the price of silver

Lastly today is this piece from yesterday's edition of the Financial Times. And, surprise surprise, it's all about silver. It's imbedded in a GATA release that's headlined "Where's the FTstory about 'speculators' buying government bonds?' The FTstory itself bears the headline "Speculators polish up the price of silver". This is a must read from beginning to end... and the link is here.

¤ The Funnies

¤ The Wrap

As I said in this column yesterday, the big declines in both gold and silver on Tuesday was a bear raid by the bullion banks hiding behind the petticoats of a dollar rally. With the dollar up about 95 basis points on Tuesday... and then down 125 basis points on Wednesday, that should be obvious to even a casual observer.

But, despite the huge decline in the world's reserve currency, there were still a lot of sellers in the gold market yesterday... and was one of the reasons that gold didn't do better. There was also another Permanent Open Market Operation [POMO] by the Fed as well... free money given to the primary dealers to put to work in the stock market. That's what drove the Dow up yesterday.

There were decent declines in open interest in both gold and silver on Tuesday when the bullion banks did the dirty. That was confirmed by the final figures from the CME when they were published yesterday morning. There might be a further decline based on Wednesday's action as well.

Ted Butler mentioned that there won't be really large declines in open interest until some of the key moving averages are taken out to the downside. One of the most important is the 50-day m.a... and it's a long way down from current price. Ted doesn't think we'll get that low. Let's pray that he's right. Here's the 1-year silver chart to put the current situation in some sort of perspective.

Volume on Wednesday was pretty heavy... but not as big as Tuesday's volume. Volume for today in Far East and early London trading is pretty decent already... especially in silver. Now that London is open for business, a bit of a rally has commenced... and both metals are back in the plus column after languishing in Far East trading earlier in the day.

I guess it might have something to do with the fact that the world's reserve currency has dropped about 55 basis points in the last hour or so... and is now back under 77.0 cents once again.

I won't hazard a guess as to what New York trading action will bring this morning, as that will pretty much be determined by what JPMorgan et al have planned... and we'll find that out soon enough.

See you on Friday.

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