Ed Steer this morning
posted on
Dec 23, 2010 09:25AM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
GLD ETF declines 302,000 ounces. Interviewed on CNBC, CFTC's Chilton defends position limits. 33rd week in a row for outflows from U.S. domestic equity mutual funds. The Christmas Truce... and much more.
Wednesday's trading activity in gold was like watching paint dry... no price action on light volume. The chart says it all. The gold price made it above $1,390 spot a couple of times... and that was all the excitement there was.
Silver's price action was like watching grass grow. Volume was light as well.
From the Far East open at 6:00 p.m. on Tuesday evening... right up until precisely 5:00 a.m. Eastern time yesterday morning... the world's reserve currency fell 40 basis points. Then at that precise moment, the dollar began to rally, gaining about 45 basis points by around 1:30 p.m. Eastern time. Coincidentally, gold and silver's high ticks of the day were at precisely 5:00 a.m. Eastern time as well... and the prices of both metals slowly declined for the rest of the trading session.
The gold and silver stocks poked their heads into positive territory several times... the last time being around 12:15 p.m. From that point, they rolled over and finished down on the day, with the HUI declining 1.08%. A lot of the juniors [both gold and silver] fared far worse than that. Trading volume was pretty thin, so it's obvious that what sellers there were, were just hitting the bid and taking their money off the table in front of the holidays. There wouldn't be a lot of stock-loss selling in the gold and silver equities this year... as pretty much every precious metals stock was up substantially from a year ago.
The CME's Daily Delivery report showed that 40 gold and 50 silver contracts were posted for delivery on Monday.
The GLD ETF had a rather large withdrawal yesterday. This time it was 302,561 troy ounces. There was no report from SLV.
The U.S. Mint's sales report on Wednesday showed that they sold another 5,500 ounces of gold eagles... bringing month-to-date sales up to 57,000 ounces. Silver eagles sales for December currently sit at 1,772,000.
There was a small decline in silver stocks reported over at the Comex-approved depositories on Tuesday. This time it was 64,644 ounces. The link to that activity is here.
Before I start my stories for the day, I've got two more charts for you. Yesterday I ran the CRB chart, noting that the CRB was a long way away from taking out its highs of 2008. For those of you who have been around long enough, you may remember that the 'powers that be' re-engineered the CRB about five years ago [or more]... and reduced the oil and gold weighting... along with a few other things. They basically did a Greenspan Hedonistic Adjustment to the index... gutting the whole thing. If you look at the old CRB... which is now called the CCI... you'll note that we are back above the old highs of 2008 for the first time. Here's the 3-year CCI chart.
And, in case you've forgotten, here's the 'new and improved' 3-year CRB index... the one we use today. It's obvious why they changed it... it keeps inflation and the cost of living down. Any questions?
Here's another sharelynx.com chart that was sent to me late last evening by Australian reader, Wesley Legrand. With a zero base as of January 1, 1970... the graph needs no further comment from me. Don't forget to 'Click to Enlarge'... as this is a pretty busy chart when it's this small.
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Today's first story is zerohedge.com piece which is courtesy of 'David in California'. The headline reads "No End In Sight To Equity Outflows As Stock Boycott Persists Despite Largest Bond Outflow Since Lehman Failure". For the 33rd week in a row there has been an outflow from domestic equity mutual funds. It's a short read... and the two graphs are worth the trip all by themselves. The link is here.
The next item is a Reuters story that's courtesy of reader Scott Pluschau. The headline states that "Government liabilities rose $2 trillion in Fiscal Year 2010: Treasury". The United States is bankrupt. This isn't a long story, either... and the link is here.
Here's a Bloomberg story imbedded in a GATA release. The headline reads "Bloomberg Sues ECB to Force Disclosure of Greece Swaps". Chris Powell has his own headline, which reads "If only Bloomberg believed in a transparent gold market too"... and the link is here.
Here's another GATA release, with a preamble written by Chris Powell. There's no reason for me write a word about it, when Chris has already done the heavy lifting for me. The headline reads "Interviewed on CNBC, CFTC's Chilton defends position limits". This is worth the five minutes of your time that it takes to watch. The link to Powell's preamble... and Chilton's interview... is here.
Washington state reader, S.A. was kind enough to forward the following graph that was posted over at agorafinancial.com. The chart is titled "Gold Demand, Then and Now".
Silver analyst Ted Butler provided another report to his clients yesterday... and I'm stealing one paragraph out of it in order to answer a question that a few of my readers had about JPMorgan's short positions being transferred to foreign banks. This is what Ted had to say about this issue... "Another story readers have questioned me about concerns a report suggesting JPMorgan is transferring its concentrated short position in Comex silver to foreign banks. I've studied the data closely... and do not come up with that conclusion. JPMorgan is clearly reducing its Comex silver short position... and that has contributed to the recent price rise, but there is no compelling evidence that it is merely a transfer of the short position to foreign banks. In the most recent Bank Participation Report, the US banks [JPMorgan] did reduce their net short position by around 4,000 contracts as previously reported, but the foreign banks only increased their net short position by 1,200 contracts. Besides, if there were such an arrangement in place, it would require overt false statements to the CFTC on large trader reporting requirements, something almost unimaginable for reporting financial institutions."
Since this is my last column until next Tuesday, I thought I'd unload the rest of the stories that I've been saving in my in-box. There are only four of them, but all are fascinating reads.
The first is a story that got posted late on Sunday evening in The Wall Street Journal. That's a wonderful time to post an important story that they don't want noticed. The headline reads "Gaddafi's Threats or Treats". Sean Connery, the actor and longtime Scottish nationalist, said that "I doubt we will ever know the full story" of why the Libyan agent who helped blow a Pan Am airliner out of the sky in 1988 was freed. Well, thanks to WikiLeaks... the world knows a lot more about it now. Nothing surprises me anymore... and this didn't either. I've also heard rumours that there was a big oil deal involving BP... and if they wanted Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi to sign on the dotted line, it was conditional on the release of Abdel Baset Al-Megrahi. It's a very short read... and a lot of the unsavoury details are linked here.
The next fascinating story is courtesy of reader G.G. This one was posted in the Friday edition of The New York Times. The short headline... "Granting Anonymity"... belies the intrigue in the story itself. I'd bet that "The Tor Project" doesn't mean much to you. It's a deliberately byzantine system of virtual tunnels that conceal the origins and destinations of data, and thus the identity of clients on the Internet. Tor has been around since 2001, when programmers from M.I.T. and the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory introduced it at a California security conference. Well, WikiLeaks knows all about it. This is a journey into the 'twilight zone' of the increasingly difficult art of keeping secrets online... and how it can be done. It's worth the read... and the link is here.
This next piece is by foreign affairs expert Srdja Trifkovic... a writer whose work I have all the time in the world for. The headline of this particular article reads "Belarus: Still No Country For Sold Men"... and it's posted over at chroniclesmagazine.org. Belarus is one of the countries that the U.S just loves to hate. President Alexander Lukashenko’s key early move was the closing of the Belarus Soros Foundation in 1997, followed by a ban on other NGO-clones. This prevented the replay of Belgrade, Tbilisi and Kiev in Minsk— and turned him into a “dictator” in Washington. Lukashenko’s popularity, and the key to the inability of various color-coded would-be emulators to gain support, is due to the fact that he has resisted foreign attempts to subvert him [or else to buy him] and to open the country to “privatization” and “post-communist transition” with predictable results for millions of common folks. Let's face it, dear reader... the guy's a hero at home. This success story is well worth your while... and you'll never see commentary like this out of the main stream media in North America... and the link is here. Once again I thank reader G.G. for providing this story.
Lastly today is this inspirational Christmas story headlined "The Christmas Truce" from reader Roy Stephens. I know that the story is factual, because my grandfather... who fought in Belgium and France during the 'Great War'... told me all about it from personal experience. It was December 25, 1914... only 5 months into World War I. German, British, and French soldiers, already sick and tired of the senseless killing, disobeyed their superiors and fraternized with "the enemy" along two-thirds of the Western Front [a crime punishable by death in times of war]. German troops held Christmas trees up out of the trenches with signs, "Merry Christmas." And the rest, as they say, is history. This is a must read... and the link is here.
Along with a quiet trading day price wise on Wednesday, came a low volume day as well. Volume will continue to decline as the 2010 calendar year winds down.
For whatever reason, the CME didn't post final open interest and volume numbers for Tuesday's trading day... but whatever changes there were, they were not overly large.
The CME's preliminary volume report posted on their website in the wee hours of this morning showed that there are still 381 gold and 288 silver contracts left to deliver in December. These numbers [except for Tuesday's 87 contract increase in silver] are declining slowly every day as deliveries are made.
Volume during the Far East trading day on Thursday... and now into the London open... is hardly worth mentioning... 10,500 gold contracts and 2,700 silver contracts as of 4:50 a.m. Eastern time. Based on those volumes, the price action doesn't really mean a lot. But, having said that, both gold and silver came under a bit of selling pressure as the afternoon progressed in Hong Kong... and trading on the Comex in New York this morning could prove interesting.
As I mentioned earlier, this is my last column until next Tuesday. I wish you a wonderful holiday season... and a Merry Christmas.