Scoutaz - Dan Norcini is also watching deliveries @ http://traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/

Monday, March 21, 2011

Still watching Silver Deliveries

There were only 2 deliveries posted against the March Silver contract today bringing the total deliveries for the month to 980. I should note however this is the first day since the delivery process began that the March Silver contract did not see a reduction in open interest. Interestingly enough, it witnessed an increase of 5 contracts on Friday of last week. Apparently some guys are planning on taking some silver and decided that the market was going to move higher with the return of the risk trades. A total of 898 contracts remain open in the March.

The spread between the March, May and July contracts for all practical purposes is zero with the March and May trading even. I would watch out if March goes to a premium to the May contract as that would portend that there are issues related to the delivery process which are bullish for the market. Such a development would indicate that the longs are getting ready to squeeze the shorts.

This is getting interesting as the battle to contain the metal below $36 is heating up. The shorts had better hope that they can push the market away from $36 convincingly or they are in trouble.