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Message: Ed Steer this morning

Vietnam is World’s 2nd Largest Gold Hoarder

"It's a good bet that all the significant price action will occur in New York...whether it be the Comex trading session, or the New York Access Market."

¤ Yesterday in Gold and Silver

It was a nothing day in both gold and silver yesterday...and volume was low, particularly in silver.

The July delivery month is coming up in silver...and there are lots of roll-overs out of July into the last two big silver delivery months of 2011...September and December.

The dollar rose about forty basis points by the open of Comex trading at 8:20 a.m. Eastern time yesterday, but gave it all back...plus ten basis points...by the time the New York trading day was over.

For reasons that make no sense to me, the precious metal shares got sold off pretty hard yesterday...with the HUI down 2.45% on the day.

The silver stocks didn't do much better...and I have no explanation for that, either. Nick Laird's Silver Sentiment Index was down 2.33%

The CME's Daily Delivery Report showed that 266 gold contracts were posted for delivery on Monday. It was almost a repeat of Wednesday's report. The big issuers were the Bank of Nova Scotia [166 contracts] and JPMorgan [100 contracts] in its client account. The big stopper/receiver was JPMorgan in its proprietary [house] account. The link to that action is here.

There were no changes over at GLD yesterday...but another 828,755 troy ounces of silver were withdrawn from SLV.

There was a smallish sales report from the U.S. Mint yesterday. They sold 500 ounces of gold eagles...500 one-ounce 24K gold buffaloes...and 91,500 silver eagles. Month-to-date the mint has sold 32,000 ounces of gold eagles...500 one-ounce 24K gold buffaloes...and 1,773,500 silver eagles.

At Switzerland's Zürcher Kantonalbank last week, they reported receiving approximately 23,000 ounces of gold, along with 479,000 ounces of silver. I thank both Carl Loeb and Ted Butler for those figures.

Over at the Comex-approved depositories on Wednesday, they didn't receive any silver...and they reported shipping 111,908 troy ounces of the stuff out the door.

Washington state reader S.A. sent me the euro/gold chart going back to January 1st...but I thought I'd run the 3-year gold/euro chart instead. It looks very similar to the gold/dollar chart...as the purchasing power of both fiat currencies is falling off a cliff versus real money.

Nick Laird sent me his PM Funds Index...and you can see that it's not a happy looking chart.

¤ Critical Reads

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Europeans try to calm fears over Greek Crisis

This column didn't start out with too many stories, but as the night/morning wore on...the pile just got bigger with each passing hour. The problems that Greece have are now reaching the melt-down point...and most of the non-precious metal stories I have are about that.

Casey Research's own Louis James sent me this story from yesterday's edition of The Washington Post.

European officials on Thursday sought to calm fears over a possible financial collapse in Greece, saying that short-term aid to Athens was imminent, even as the euro slumped and concern heightened that debt troubles could engulf larger economies such as Spain.

Olli Rehn, the European Union’s economic commissioner, said a crucial $17 billion aid disbursement to Greece from the E.U. and the International Monetary Fund would land in Athens by early July, in time to prevent the nation from running out of cash to pay its creditors. Release of the funding, part of Greece’s $160 billion bailout approved last year, was being held up by deadlocked talks over the size and shape of a second massive bailout that the country now needs as its financial straits worsen.

The link is here.

Greek crisis exposes growing rift between France and Germany

Supposedly the two key peacemakers in Europe's struggle, the pair now fighting each other over how to prevent the eurozone's first ever default.

In just over a week, Greece is due for its next vital cash injection - a €12bn tranche from the €110bn international bail-out package agreed in May last year.

With everyone but the Greeks convinced that this unlikely to happen, international authorities are scrambling to get a new package in place. Their self-imposed deadline is June 20. But insiders fear that the whole rescue mission will be derailed unless the French and Germans can agree over who pays for it.

I 'borrowed' this story from yesterday's King Report...and the link is here.

Moody's puts French banks on review for downgrade over Greece

Here's a Reuters piece that also came from Bill King's report yesterday. The American credit rating agencies have really been piling it on lately...and their timing is impeccable with this one.

Moody's Investors Service on Wednesday placed France's top three banks, BNP Paribas, Société Générale and Crédit Agricole (CASA), on review for a possible downgrade, citing the banks exposure to Greece's debt crisis.

It's a short read...and the link is here.

The World from Berlin: 'The Greek Situation Has Reached a Dead End'

Here's a Roy Stephens offering from the German website spiegel.de.

A crumbling government, protests on the streets of Athens and ongoing European disagreement on another bailout package: Greece's debt crisis is on the verge of spiraling out of control. German commentators say that the country's politicians have failed their people.

When it comes to the troubles facing the European common currency, optimism has been the name of the game. Politicians from capitals across the Continent have repeatedly insisted that the euro will be just fine and that Greece, facing the severest of European debt crises, will pull through. But on Wednesday, there were signs that their high hopes were beginning to crumble.

The link to the story is here.

Why Your Money-Market Fund Could Be Hit by Greek Default

Here's a cnbc.com piece from yesterday that was sent to me by reader U.D.

Some of the safest, plain-vanilla investment accounts in the U.S. could be challenged if Greece defaults on its sovereign debt.

Forty-four percent of mutual fund assets in the U.S. are invested in the short-term debt of European banks, according to a report from Fitch.

A separate report from Moody's noted that 55 percent of those holdings are in the commercial paper of French banks, such as Société Générale, BNP Paribas and Crédit Agricole. French banks are some of biggest creditors to Greece, with over $53 billion in outstanding loans to the Greek government and private sector.

The link is here.

U.K. set to unwind support for banking

Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne said Wednesday it's time to begin unwinding support for Britain's financial sector and selling government stakes in banks amid early signs of economic recovery.

"It's time we started to plan our exit," Mr. Osborne said in the text of a speech to the annual gathering of bankers at London's Mansion House Wednesday night. "Taxpayers today own a large part of the banking system and underwrite guarantees to parts of the rest."

That's all well and good, dear reader, but this is another example of whistling past the graveyard, as Britain is in dire economic and financial condition...and likely to remain that way for a generation at least.

I thank reader George Findlay for sending me this story out of yesterday's edition of the National Post in Toronto. The link is here.

Americans return to pessimism about US economy

Here's another Roy Stephens offering. This one is from The Telegraph late last night.

A poll for The Wall Street Journal/NBC found that 30pc of those questioned expect the economy to deteriorate over the next year, with 29pc predicting an improvement. Although it's a small difference, economists say it reflects the cumulative effect of high gasoline prices, a still depressed housing market and the uneven recovery in the jobs market.

A slew of data released yesterday did little to dispel the impression that the weakening in gross domestic product seen in the first quarter of the year has extended into the second.

The link is here.

Analysis: High-frequency trade sparks flash fires in commodities

When natural gas prices dropped by 8 percent in a matter of seconds in the early hours of Asian trade last week, one New York-based hedge fund manager said he didn't have to think twice.

"The moment I heard, I ran, literally ran, to my computer and started buying," he said. "It was clear it was an HFT algo gone bad and I could profit on the rebound off the lows."

These are the same sort of traders that Ted Butler says are currently stomping about in the silver market. This story was filed shortly after midnight last night...and I thank Washington state reader S.A. for sharing this Reuters story with us. The link is here.

Stock collapse and $12,000 gold?

Here's a marketwatch.com story that was sent to me by Florida reader Donna Badach.

After six down weeks and a savage slump on Tuesday, the specter of a 2008 Crash haunts Wall Street. But two certified doomsters are [slightly] more cautious.

It's a short read...and the link is here.

Dow/Gold Ratio Update

Here's a story that appeared over at the resourceinvestor.com website last week...and it's reader U.D.'s second contribution to today's column.

Today, we are in the midst of an accelerating stock market decline, with the most important indices dropping below their technical support lines. The S&P 500 has sunk below its crucial 1,300-level, while the Dow Jones has been falling towards 12,000 points.

On the other side of the Dow/Gold equation, gold is going strong, and is still trading around $1,550 per ounce.

This mix – collapsing stocks and strength in gold – translates into a falling Dow/Gold ratio. The ratio currently stands at 7.9x in Dow/Gold chart shown below.

I still expect the ratio to drop even further this time, towards 6x or perhaps even lower. The forcefulness of gold is quite astonishing, trading near its all-time high during these shaky market circumstances. To us, this is a sign of further strength for the yellow metal in the near future, which indicates even higher gold prices than we had anticipated.

This story...which includes an excellent graph...is a must read. The link is here.

Audio Interview with Rick Rule: King World News

Yesterday [Or was it the day before?] I ran a KWN blog featuring Rick Rule. Here's the link to the entire audio interview.

Vietnam is world’s 2nd largest gold hoarder

I was snooping around the Sprott Money website yesterday and stumbled across the story below.

Vietnam is hoarding between 460 and 1,000 tons of gold worth around US$21 to $45 billion, second only to India, according to figures released last week. The figures take into account gold held by the people and stored at banks.

The World Gold Council ranks Vietnam as among 5 countries with the largest gold hoarding in the world, second after India. Vietnam’s gold takes up 23-29.5% of the world’s total gold during the past 5 years.

The story was posted yesterday over at english.vietnamnet.vn...and the link is here. It's very much worth the read.

Audio Interview with Jim Sinclair: King World News

Yesterday I posted a Jim Sinclair blog that Eric King had sent my way...and late last night my time [after midnight his time] he sent me the full audio interview. I haven't had the chance to listen to it yet, but Eric describes it as "extremely intense"...and that doesn't surprise me in the slightest. The link is here.

¤ The Funnies

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¤ The Wrap

I contend that for a nation to try to tax itself into prosperity is like a man standing in a bucket and trying to lift himself up by the handle. ~ Winston Churchill

Volume in gold yesterday was just under 100,000 contracts net of all roll-overs...and the preliminary open interest number showed an increase of only 2,567 contracts. The final open interest number for Wednesday's trading day showed an increase of 5,952 contracts.

Net volume in silver was well under 40,000 contracts on Thursday, as a lot of the trading was roll-overs out of the July contract into both September and December. The preliminary open interest number for the Thursday trading day showed an increase of 1,776 contracts...and the final open interest number in silver for Wednesday showed a decline of 301 contracts. This was a bit of a surprise considering the huge $1.20 rally that silver had during the Comex trading session in New York on that day. Maybe there was some short covering going on.

The price action in both silver and gold during Far East trading had a slight negative bias all night long...and now that London has been open for a bit, gold is down about seven dollars...and siler is down around sixty-five cents. Platinum and palladium are getting killed. Volume, which had been extremely light earlier, has picked up a bit...especially in silver. The dollar is up about 30 basis points as of 4:22 a.m. Eastern.

So far, there's been no sign of another major price smash in either gold or silver...even though a critical moving average is beckoning in gold. I still think we're going to get one in gold, but I reserve the right to be wrong.

As always, today's Commitment of Traders Report will be of interest when it's issued at 3:30 p.m. Eastern time, sharp. I know that I'll be face down in it as soon as it's posted...and at the appropriate time you can click here.

Today is Friday...and it's impossible to tell what will happen with the precious metals. But it's a good bet that all the significant price action will occur in New York...whether it be the Comex trading session, or the New York Access Market that follows at 1:30 p.m. Eastern time.

I know I go on about buying while there's 'blood in the streets'...but, as Warren Buffett so succinctly puts it...you should be brave when others are fearful...and fearful when others are brave. That applies to the precious metal share prices right now...plus the metal itself.

There's still time left to either readjust your portfolio...or get fully invested in the continuing major up-leg of this bull market in both silver and gold...and I respectfully suggest that you take a trial subscription to either Casey Research's International Speculator [junior gold and silver exploration companies], or BIG GOLD [large producers], with all our best [and current] recommendations...as well as the archives. A subscription to the International Speculator also includes a free subscription to BIG GOLD as well. And don't forget that our 90-day guarantee of satisfaction is in effect for both publications.

I hope your weekend goes well...and I'll see you here on Tuesday.

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