Ed Steer this morning
posted on
Jun 22, 2011 09:36AM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
Greek Savers Rush For Gold
"I'm ever hopeful for an up-side breakout...but I'm always fearful of one more 'in your ear' smack-down from JPMorgan et al before things do blow up."
It was a pretty quiet day in the gold market everywhere on Planet Earth yesterday. The gold price was up about six bucks on the day...and volume, once again, was light.
The silver price, as usual, was more 'volatile'...and we all know why that's the case, don't we? The silver price hit its low around 11:00 a.m. Hong Kong time on Tuesday morning...and then rallied to it's high of the day in the New York Access market about forty-five minutes after Comex trading ended for the day yesterday afternoon. From trough to peak, silver was up about eighty-five cents.
But once that high was in, the silver price gave up about fifteen cents worth of that gain...but still closed up about thirty-five cents. Volume, net of all roll-overs out of the July delivery month, was incredibly light.
The dollar drifted lower and finished the Tuesday trading day down about 45 basis points...and closed slightly off that low.
The gold stocks were on fire right from the open of trading. They gapped up...and never looked back. The HUI finished up 3.37%
The silver shares, for the most part, blew the doors off their golden cousins...and the proof is in Nick Laird's Silver Sentiment Index which was up a smoking hot 5.37%
Why the precious metal shares did so well yesterday is a mystery to me, but I'm not looking a gift horse in the mouth. However, we've still got a long way to go to get back to the old highs...but the first two trading days of this week was a good start.
The CME's Daily Delivery Report showed that 74 gold contracts were posted for delivery on Thursday. The Bank of Nova Scotia issued 73 of those contracts...and JPMorgan stopped/received 68 of them in its proprietary [house] account. They've been on the receiving end of a lot of metal this month. No silver contracts were posted for delivery. The link to what little action there was, is here.
There were no reported changes in either GLD or SLV yesterday...and the U.S. Mint had no sales report, either.
Over at Switzerland's Zürcher Kantonalbank last week, their gold ETF reported a decline of about 14,200 ounces...and their silver ETF took in close to 187,000 troy ounces. I thank both Carl Loeb and Ted Butler for those numbers.
Over at the Comex-approved depositories on Monday, they reported a receipt of 596,329 ounces of silver...and shipped out a smallish 26,577 ounces, for a net increase of 569,752 troy ounces of the stuff. Here's the link to that.
I'm going to steal one more paragraph from silver analyst Ted Butler's weekly commentary on Saturday...
"What makes the recent silver takedown the most egregious in history is the clear proof of manipulation provided by public data. I know the notion exists that silver was in a bubble, driven up by hot speculative money that suddenly turned tail. But I also know that there is no objective data backing such bubble claims. All that was looked at was the rising price and then an assumption was made that there must have been hot speculative money behind it. The data in the COT for the week ending April 26, when silver closed at $45.60, having traded above $49, was that the big buyers to the upside were the big commercials, mostly buying back shorts, to the tune of more than 10,200 contracts net. JPMorgan was a noted buyer, as confirmed in the May 3rd Bank Participation Report. The speculators were the big sellers. I still believe that there was a backdoor deal between JPMorgan and the few big speculators who did go short, illegally swapping positions, as I wrote at the time. Illegal swap or not, there was no hot speculative money driving prices higher, just commercial buying."
I have a fair number of stories again today, but most of them are precious metal related, so I hope you can find the time to go through them all.
The risks of the U.S. losing its prized triple-A rating over the medium term have increased as the country faces a political impasse and nears its debt ceiling, Standard and Poor's said on Tuesday.
IMF economist Paul Mills took a negative line on the politics surrounding the U.S. debt situation, speaking at the a Euromoney bond conference in London yesterday.
"I don't think the debate has yet even begun to understand how big a fiscal retrenchment is going to be needed," Mills said.
I thank reader Scott Pluschau for this Reuters story posted over at news.yahoo.com...and the link is here.
Bill Gross ponders the fact that a college education isn't worth much these days..."American citizens and its universities have experienced an ivy-laden ivory tower for the past half century. Students, however, can no longer assume that a four year degree will be the golden ticket to a good job in a global economy that cares little for their social networking skills and more about what their labor is worth on the global marketplace."
I thank reader U.D. for this story posted over at pimco.com...and the link is here.
J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. agreed to pay $153.6 million to settle civil charges that it misled investors in a complex mortgage-bond portfolio—failing to tell them that a hedge fund helped craft the deal and stood to profit if it failed.
The settlement indicates the Securities and Exchange Commission has settled on a playbook for forcing Wall Street firms to pay penalties for transactions that helped fuel the financial crisis.
This is barely a slap on the wrist when JPMorgan et al made tens of billions of dollars profit on these things. And the major banks still have to deal with the government investigation into these matters...and Goldman Sachs is at the top of the list.
The story is courtesy of Washington state reader S.A...but it's posted in The Wall Street Journal...and you need a subscription to see it...but the link is here if you do.
Prime Minister George Papandreou of Greece won a crucial vote of confidence early Wednesday, with all 155 lawmakers of the Socialist Party expressing their support for his beleaguered government, above the absolute majority of 151 votes required by Greece’s 300-seat Parliament.
Mr. Papandreou will face an even bigger challenge when Parliament votes next week on a slate of measures that includes tax hikes, wage cuts and state privatization. The steps were required by the European Union, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund before the release of the next segment of financial aid, which Greece needs to meet expenses through the summer.
This Roy Stephens offering was posted late last night over at The New York Times...and the link is here.
When it comes to the euro crisis, Europe means business. That, at least, is the message sent by the decision to withhold a vital aid tranche until Greece passes a far-reaching austerity package next week. But the move could backfire.
Prime Minister Giorgios Papandreou is doing all he can to keep his government together and prevent his country from going bankrupt. But the obstacles -- a full year after the European Union and the International Monetary Fund put together a €110 billion aid package for the country -- are myriad. And high.
The next hurdle is scheduled for Tuesday night at midnight, Athens time. Papandreou, himself an enthusiastic runner, faces a confidence vote in the Greek parliament. With his party holding 155 of 300 seats, his margin for error is thin. The conservative opposition has vowed to vote against him.
This is another Roy Stephens offering...and it's a posting over at the German website spiegel.de. It's worth the read...and the link is here.
Syrian President Bashar Assad, following in the footsteps of other beleaguered Arab autocrats, promised reforms and threatened protesters in a televised speech. But German commentators join the growing number of observers who feel Assad's regime may be running out of time.
The center-left Süddeutsche Zeitung writes:
"It is, despite all the violence, a display of overwhelming impotence: Syrian soldiers kill livestock, shoot children, burn down houses. Military helicopters circle over villages as whole provinces flee to neighboring countries. And the people, in an almost suicidal fashion, still arm themselves, go out onto the streets and demand the overthrow of the regime."
"Now Syrian President Bashar Assad has once again tried to be the good guy; he has promised reforms, more political parties, freedom of opinion. A better, more peaceful, more prosperous and free Syria can be created, his reforms promise, if "plotters", "vandals" and "extremists" are resisted; if Syria decides in favor of its president and against the chaos. It is not impossible that sections of the Syrian population thoroughly endorse Assad's speech."
This is Roy's third and final offering in today's column. This one is also posted over at spiegel.de...and the link is here.
Here's a GATA release...and I'm just going to steal Chris Powell's preamble and post the link.
Al Korelin of the Korelin Economics Report interviewed GATA Chairman Bill Murphy, GATA board member Ed Steer, and your secretary/treasurer during Cambridge House's World Resource Investment Conference in Vancouver two weeks ago. The interview covers GATA's development, objectives, and successes. It's 16 minutes long and video of it can be found at youtube.com...and the link is here.
I remember doing this video interview with Al...but can't remember a thing about what was said...and I haven't had time to watch it. But Bill and Chris did most of the talking, which was fine by me. For all you newbie gold and silver bugs out there...you can find out what GATA is all about...and what we're up to at the moment.
Here's a piece that showed up at the Casey Research website the other day...and it's very much worth your time.
Fiat currencies the world over are being manipulated by central banks, which is distorting asset and commodity prices. Successful investing requires that investors have a good idea of what things cost and what they are really worth – and using the world's oldest and most stable form of money, gold, to compare prices is one way to get that insight.
This wonderful article is a must read...and I thank Washington state reader S.A. for bringing it to our attention. The link is here.
Here's a short R.R. blog posted over at King World News that Eric sent me yesterday. The headline pretty much says it all...and the link is here.
Here's an interesting story that showed up in the Monday edition of the New York Post.
There's gold in them thar sidewalk cracks!
A Queens man has discovered enough hidden treasure -- bits of diamonds, rubies, platinum and gold -- on the gritty sidewalks of Midtown's Diamond District to make a living.
"The streets of 47th Street are literally paved with gold," a giddy Raffi Stepanian, 43, of Whitestone told The Post last week when a reporter discovered him on all fours -- armed with tweezers and a butter knife -- digging through cracks in the sidewalk in a driving rainstorm.
You can't make this stuff up...and I thank reader Craig Eubanks for sharing it with us. The link is here.
Reader Charley Orr sent me this story that was posted over at the coinweek.com website yesterday.
U.S. Postal Service inspectors are investigating the fraudulent use of stolen American Express credit cards to purchase apparently tens of thousands of dollars of gold coins.
“The orders are placed by phone, often for $10,000 to $20,000 worth of Liberty Double Eagles or other, large-sized gold coins. The callers have a foreign accent and sometimes have problems pronouncing the name on the credit card. They’ll phone dealers and will correspond by email, but no one ever answers the phones when dealers try to call them back,” said Michael Fuljenz, President of Universal Coin & Bullion in Beaumont, Texas who has been working with postal inspectors on several cases.
It's a very short...but very interesting read...and the link is here.
This is not a website that I've ever spent much/any time at...but GATA's secretary treasurer Chris Powell says that the piece about Liberty Dollar founder Bernard von NotHaus "seems a fair summary of the briefs" being presented to the courts as part of the appeal process.
Chris has already done the hard work for us...and the link to the GATA release is here.
Here's a zerohedge.com piece that was sent to me by various readers since it appeared on their website on Saturday. The first thing I did was ask silver analyst Ted Butler what it meant in the grand scheme of things...and this was his reply..."This is not a big deal, as this type of trading should never have been allowed in the first place."
The Over the Counter [OTC] market is described here....and I know that the 'brain trust' at Casey Research is working on this right now...and they'll have more to say about it in the days and weeks ahead.
But you can still buy all the physical gold and silver that you want, as the OTC market has nothing whatsoever to do with buying the metal itself. Once you read the above Wikipedia description, that should put your mind at ease.
This only applies to the United States...but having said that, I know that about two thirds of my readers live there, so watch this space...and sign of for free to Casey's Daily Dispatch...for more breaking news on this.
The link to the zerohedge.com story is here...and there's another zerohedge.com piece on a similar vein linked here. Both are must reads.
Here's a short blog posted over at King World News...and the link is here.
Lastly today is this most excellent story out of yesterday's edition of the Financial Times in London...and many thanks goes out to reader Tariq Khan for digging this one up.
Greek citizens are emptying savings accounts and buying gold as they brace themselves for the possibility of a sovereign default and a run on the banks.
Sales of gold coins have soared as savers seek a safer and fungible source of value.
"When the global financial crisis started, our sales of coins to investors overtook bullion for the first time," said Harry Krinakis, at Sepheriades, a Greek precious metals trader. "Now the sales ratio has reached five to one."
The story is subscriber protected, but I sent it off to Chris Powell...and he promptly posted it in the public domain embedded in a GATA release. The link to this absolute must read article is here.
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As I mentioned in the opening paragraph, gold volume net of all roll-overs was a hair under 90,000 contracts, which is almost background noise in the grand scheme of things. The preliminary open interest number for the Tuesday trading day was 4,565 contracts...and the final open interest number for Monday's trading day dropped down to an increase of only 2,339 contracts.
Silver's net volume yesterday was around 38,000 contracts. This is a very small number...and would be well under half of that if JPMorgan's high frequency traders weren't stomping about in this market. Tuesday's preliminary open interest number showed a chunky increase of 4,792 contracts...and for such a low volume day, I wasn't impressed. Hopefully the final number later this morning will be much lower. Monday's final o.i. number showed a smallish increase of only 827 contracts.
Whatever the final open interest numbers are reported for the Tuesday trading day later this morning, they will be in Friday's Commitment of Traders Report...as Tuesday was the cut-off date.
There's not much to look at on the gold and silver charts. The gold price is still firmly above its 50-day moving average...and the 200-day moving average is now at $1,405...and creeping ever higher. We're also within twenty bucks of the April 29th all-time high gold price that occurred just before the 'drive by shooting' in silver on Sunday, May 1st.
The silver price is still firmly below its 50-day moving average...and the 200-day moving average is working its way slowly higher by the day...and is now above $31 the ounce.
I'm ever hopeful for an up-side breakout...but I'm always fearful of one more 'in your ear' smack-down from JPMorgan et al before things do blow up. I was comforted by the share price action in both gold and silver yesterday, so I'm hoping for the best.
The trading action up until about 10:30 a.m. in London this morning was very quiet, both in terms of volume and price action...and the dollar wasn't doing much of anything, either. It will be interesting to see what price action awaits both metals once the Comex opens for business at 8:30 a.m. Eastern.
I'm done for another day...and I'll see you here tomorrow.