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Message: Ed Steer this morning

With Dollar Tumbling, Bernanke Has to Pretend That Gold Isn't Money

"It's my guess that we are watching the world's financial and monetary system begin to float off the rails at this very moment."

¤ Yesterday in Gold and Silver

The gold price didn't do a whole heck of a lot in Far East trading during their Wednesday, but began to rally going into the London open...and the price was up four or five bucks by the time trading began on the Comex at 8:20 a.m. Eastern time.

About twenty minutes after the open, a rally began that ran out of gas around 11:15 in New York...and from there the price weakened a few dollars going into the close of the New York Access Market at 5:15 p.m. Eastern. The closing price was another new record high. Volume was very heavy.

The silver price didn't do much until around 1:00 p.m. Hong Kong time...and, about five minutes before the Comex open, it was up about fifty cents. From that point, the silver price really took off, with the top coming moments after 11:00 a.m. Eastern time.

From there, silver sold off a bit, but recovered most of that by the end of electronic trading...and closed very close to its high of the day. Silver's high of the day was $38.43 spot...and the price closed up $2.08...or 5.75%. Volume was monstrous.

The dollar, which opened around 76.00 cents, stayed more or less unchanged until early afternoon Hong Kong time, before it rolled over and headed for the nether regions of the earth. It's nadir came shortly after 11 a.m. Eastern time...and even though it recovered a hair after that, it still closed down about 80 basis points on the day.

The top in the gold price yesterday came almost at the same moment as the dollar hit rock bottom. The silver price didn't hit its zenith until forty minutes later.

The gold stocks gapped up...and powered higher all morning on Wednesday...with the top coming during the New York lunch hour. From there, they got sold off a bit more than a percent going into the close of the equity markets. The HUI finished up a rather impressive 3.52%.

Needless to say, the silver stocks did much better...and Nick Laird's Silver Sentiment Index rose a very healthy 5.50%. A lot of the juniors outperformed even this index.

(Click on image to enlarge)

The CME Daily Delivery Report showed that 60 gold and 6 silver contracts were posted for delivery on Friday. The only issuer in gold was Jefferies...and the big receiver/stopper was JPMorgan [53 contracts] in its client account.

Despite gold's very impressive price performance yesterday, there were no reported changes in GLD yesterday. But it was a different story with SLV, as they took in a very chunky 4,288,364 troy ounces of silver.

The U.S. Mint had another small sales report yesterday. They sold another 2,000 ounces of gold eagles, along with 206,500 silver eagles.

Two of the Comex-approved depositories saw action yesterday as 540,434 ounces of silver were received at Brink's, Inc...and 790,800 ounces were shipped out of Scotia Mocatta.

Here's a couple of short paragraphs from silver analyst Ted Butler's latest commentary to his subscribers yesterday...

"Certainly, today’s explosive price action would seem to confirm the spectacularly bullish COT set up recently observed here. Such a large move in silver, up more than $3 from yesterday’s intraday lows, is exactly what should have occurred if we were at a cleaned out bottom. Now it becomes a question of if and whether JPMorgan significantly increases their silver short position on the higher prices. My guess is still no, but that should be a major determinant to price."

"Undoubtedly, there has been deterioration in gold as it races to all-time highs on high volume and increasing total open interest. But coming off an extremely bullish COT report last week, gold may have room to run on the upside. New COT reports will be monitored to gauge the level of new speculative buying/commercial selling in gold."

I have a ton of stories today...and I hope you have time for them.

¤ Critical Reads

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Fed weighing further easing, Bernanke says: Calls study ‘prudent planning’

Just two weeks after completing a second extraordinary effort to juice the moribund U.S. economy, the Federal Reserve is contemplating more “untested” steps, the head of the central bank said Wednesday.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says the central bank is examining several untested means to stimulate growth if conditions deteriorate, even though the central bank believes the temporary shocks holding down economic activity will pass.

As Jim Sinclair said...it will be QE to infinity.

This marketwatch.com story is courtesy of Florida reader Donna Badach...and the link is here.

Moody's Puts US AAA Rating On Downgrade Review

Moody's Investors Service has placed the Aaa bond rating of the government of the United States on review for possible downgrade given the rising possibility that the statutory debt limit will not be raised on a timely basis, leading to a default on US Treasury debt obligations. On June 2, Moody's had announced that a rating review would be likely in mid July unless there was meaningful progress in negotiations to raise the debt limit.

This zerohedge.com story is courtesy of Washington state reader S.A. It's a short read...and the link is here.

E.U. Vows to Back Banks That Fail Stress Tests

European officials vowed on Tuesday to support banks that fail stress tests, but left unresolved deep disputes that have held up a second rescue package for Greece.

The results of the stress tests, which are scheduled to be released on Friday, could pose a headache for the 27 European Union finance ministers who met here to discuss ways to ease the region’s financial turmoil.

Wow! These guys are really desperate! You can't make this stuff up. I thank reader Mike Smith for this story out of Tuesday's edition of The New York Times...and the link is here.

Darkening Clouds: Irish Debt Downgraded as Euro Worries Spread

Just one week after downgrading Portuguese debt to junk status, the rating agency Moody's has slashed its rating of Irish debt. The move comes despite growing official anger in Europe at the power of the big three rating agencies. But a new aid package for Ireland, Moody's believes, may be unavoidable.

The European Union in recent days has indicated it is seeking ways to limit the amount of influence rating agencies have when it comes to evaluating sovereign debt. But Moody's on Tuesday made it clear it is unimpressed.

This is a story that was posted over at spiegel.de yesterday...and is Roy Stephen's first offering of the day. The link to this short read is here.

Interview with Belgium's Finance Minister: 'We're Not Crazy, Just a Little Different'

For more than a year now, Belgium has been without an elected government. Didier Reynders, the longest-serving finance minister in the European Union and deputy Belgian prime minister, discusses his country's political crisis and why, despite pessimism from rating agencies, he doesn't believe Belgium will require a euro bailout.

If I had to pick a country that's starting to circle the drain along with Italy and Spain...my next choice would be deeply divided Belgium. By rights, this country should no longer exist as a nation state, as the two ethnic groups of which it is composed, hardly acknowledge the others' existence.

This short read, also from spiegel.de, is Roy's second offering of the day...and it's very much worth your time. The link is here.

Europe steps back from the abyss, for a day

The European Union has reached "crunch time" in the words of George Papandreou, Greece's despondent premier. Its leaders can longer allow themselves the luxury of "indecisiveness, errors and tactical politics" as the debt crisis engulfs 40pc of the eurozone's economy and almost half its population.

"Let us be clear: if there is no relief we are going straight into the abyss," said Romano Prodi, Italy's ex-premier and former head of the European Commission.

Relief came just in the nick of time at 9.15 on Tuesday morning when somebody – most likely the European Central Bank (ECB) – intervened in the Spanish and Italian debt markets. Systemic contagion has been halted. A global crash has been averted. At least for a day.

I'd say that the euro, and the European Union's chances of survival in its present form, are zero.

This Ambrose Evans-Pritchard story from late last night in The Telegraph is also courtesy of Roy Stephens. It, too, is well worth the read...and the link is here.

With dollar tumbling, Bernanke has to pretend that gold isn't better money

At a hearing of the House Financial Services Committee today, U.S. Rep. Ron Paul asked Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke if gold is money. Bernanke said no, adding, when pressed, that central banks hold gold as an asset because of "tradition."

But before Bernanke said "no"...the very long pause before his answer, spoke volumes.

You just have to know that the world's financial and monetary system is on its last legs when you hear something like that. Central bankers are playing with fire. Get ready...as the house is about to burn down.

Zero Hedge has posted video of today's exchange between Paul and Bernanke. The link to the must watch video...and Chris Powell's must read preamble is linked in this GATA release here.

Alix Steel notes meaning of Paul-Bernanke exchange on gold

TheStreet.com's Alix Steel grasps the significance of U.S. Rep. Ron Paul's exchange with Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke about gold as money at today's hearing of the House Financial Services Committee. Steel's report is headlined "Ron Paul Attacks Bernanke on Gold" and you can find her comments posted here.

New York Sun knocks Bernanke's dissembling on gold

Last night the New York Sun took Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke apart for his doddering performance before the House Financial Services Committee...and his dissembling response to U.S. Ron Paul's question as to whether gold is money. The Sun's editorial is headlined "Bernanke: Gold Isn't Money".

I stole this story...and the one above...from two separate GATA releases last night. The preambles are both courtesy of Chris Powell as well...and the link to this absolute must read editorial is here.

How much money have these assets made you in the past year?

Precious metals (gold, silver and platinum) were the best performing asset class over the first half of 2011, providing investors with a return of 4.9pc, according to new research from Lloyds TSB. The return over the past year was 36pc. 'Precious metals continue to shine brightest among investors amid renewed uncertainty over the outlook for the global economy,' the bank said.

You just read the caption underneath a fabulous picture of gold kilo bars all laid out in a row. The photo appeared in a late-night story out of The Telegraph last night...and the photo makes for terrific 'eye candy'. I thank Roy Stephens once again...and the link is here.

Gold price hits all-time high on European debt crisis and US QE

Here's another story from Roy...also from The Telegraph.

The price of gold for immediate delivery hit a record $1,578.55 on Wednesday evening. Gold is priced in dollars, but it also hit a record in sterling, the euro and the South African rand.

Moody’s downgrade of Ireland’s debt to junk status combined with minutes from the Federal Reserve's last meeting of its open markets committee to send investors fleeing to safety.

The link is here.

The countries with the largest gold reserves

With gold prices hitting a record high on Wednesday, here are the 10 countries holding all the cards when it comes to gold reserves, according to the World Gold Council.

The World Gold Council has already admitted that these numbers are not even close to being true...and Belgium said just last month that 41% of its gold reserves were lent out...probably never to return. It's a good bet that all ten of the countries listed here have nowhere near the gold they say they do, as the IMF has allowed them to record gold in the vault in the same line item as gold leased/lent out.

If you know anything about accounting, this would never be allowed in any other business, as the gold out on loan would be classified as 'gold receivables' in a separate line item in the company's financial statements.

The IMF allows this so that you can't tell how much physical gold really exists. It's GATA contention that over half of the 30,000 tonnes that the central banks of the world report that they have, has already been sold into the open market.

This is another Roy Stephens offering out of The Telegraph...and it's all b.s...and the link is here.

Eurozone hits the fan: Gold price surging; Silver begins to make a move

Here's a longish read that was posted over at the mineweb.com yesterday. Roy must have spent the entire day on Wednesday digging up gold-related stories on the Internet, as this one is from him as well.

The Eurozone crisis goes from bad to worse and QE3 looks to be on the horizon in the U.S. again. Gold and silver have moved up sharply and this path could well continue as bad news proliferates.

The move also seems to be very much towards holding physical gold and silver too. ETF holdings have been static to falling much of this year and perhaps, as the realisation dawns that even the biggest global banks are far from safe from collapse in the current economic environment, physical metal will come to the fore more and more, although the storage problems for significant quantities of gold, and particularly silver, should not be underestimated. The location where one should store precious metals is also something to be considered. Might the U.S. confiscate gold again ahead of a major revaluation? Perhaps unlikely but the possibility will remain in people's minds.

It's very much worth the read as well...less than five minutes...and the link is here.

BMG offers global storage diversification with additional vaults in Hong Kong and New York City

As the mineweb.com story above alludes to, the rush to physical metal stored in various locations around the world, is intensifying. Here's a press release from Bullion Management Group yesterday on this very issue.

“The move to offer bullion storage to our BMG BullionBars clients in three global money centres is in response to client demand for local and diversified vault locations,” says Nick Barisheff, President and CEO of Bullion Management Group Inc. “In a period where global financial contagion and central bank defaults are being discussed openly in mainstream financial media, the option for storage of BMG BullionBars in local or multiple vaults holds immediate appeal for high net worth investors.”

These new facilities complement the company’s present storage facility in Toronto, Canada.

In the interests of full disclosure, I own a big chunk of one of BMG's precious metal funds. The link to the press release is here.

Gold protects against fiat currency graveyard, Turk tells Martenson

Here's a GATA release of a Chris Martenson interview with GoldMoney founder and GATA consultant James Turk.

Sooner or later, all fiat currencies will end up in the currency graveyard, dear reader...yours included.

Chris Powell has already wordsmithed the preamble...and the link to all of this, is here.

Mining stocks soon to fly, Embry tells King World News

Sprott Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist John Embry told King World News yesterday that derivatives have managed to suppress commodity prices longer than he thought they could, but that soon precious metal mining stocks will be performing like Internet stocks in the 1990s...only they'll have good fundamentals. An excerpt of the interview is linked here.

¤ The Funnies

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¤ The Wrap

The problem is that government control comes from the acceptance of government coercion. And, at the root, this coercion is “financed” by imposing a medium of EXCHANGE by force. It can’t work. It won’t work. It has never worked. It will never work. No “solution” to the present crisis is possible unless and until money is returned to its vital function of facilitating exchanges between the owners of wealth. - Bill Buckler, The Privateer...July 10, 2011

Gold volume net of all roll-overs yesterday was a pretty enormous 175,000 contracts...and the preliminary open interest showed an off-the-charts increase of 25,122 contracts...the biggest one-day increase in gold open interest I have ever seen. JPMorgan et al are going massively short this rally.

Tuesday's final open interest number was adjusted down to an increase of 'only' 8,175 contracts. Wednesday's final o.i. number will dwarf this one.

Silver's net volume yesterday was an equally enormous 90,000 contracts...and the preliminary open interest number showed a huge increase of 7,619 contracts...and that's also a one-day record high increase in open interest.

Silver's final open interest number for Tuesday's trading day was adjusted all the way down to virtually nothing...an increase of only 41 contracts. I'd guess that Tuesday's rally involved a lot of short covering by the bullion banks...and it would be my guess that they put all that back on, plus more on Thursday.

The final open interest numbers for both gold and silver for Wednesday will be gargantuan no matter how big the improvement is shown in the final numbers from the CME this morning. However, it remains to be seen what these increases translate into when next Friday's COT report is issued, as none of this will be in tomorrow's report. It's possible that the bullion banks were going long yesterday...and covering their tracks with spread trades. I'm praying that this will be the case...but I doubt my prayers will be answered...but we'll have to wait a week to find out.

Here's the 6-month gold chart. We are rapidly approaching overbought territory...and as I said yesterday, we'll see how long JPMorgan lets the price run before they and the other bullion banks engineer a sell-off. But we could run to the upside for a while.

(Click on image to enlarge)

You can see from the 6-month silver chart below, that we blasted through the 50-day moving average with even more authority than I thought possible. We're not even close to overbought territory yet, so we'll have to see how this shakes out over the remainder of July. I'm guessing that the bullion banks were the sellers of last resort yesterday...but, as I said just a few paragraphs ago, we won't know for sure until next Friday's COT report.

(Click on image to enlarge)

There's also the possibility that the bullion banks could get over-run and are forced to cover shorts themselves...and we could have a melt-up in the prices of both metals. But nothing I see in the price activity...or the open interest numbers...suggests that this is going to happen any time soon.

The gold price didn't do much of anything in Far East trading during their Thursday...and gold has now broken through the $1,590 spot price barrier...and it will be interesting to see how much opposition that JPMorgan et al put up at the $1,600 spot price level.

The silver price action has been more exciting...as it has now broken through the $39 spot level.

Volume in both metals is just as heavy as it was this time yesterday...and the dollar is down about 31 basis points as of 5:19 a.m. Eastern time.

It's my guess that we are watching the world's financial and monetary system begin to float off the rails at this very moment. It has become more unglued with each passing month...but if I had to pick a day when it really became apparent...I'd pick Wednesday, July 13th as the beginning of the end.

Hold onto your hats, as the 'fun' has just begun. It should be another interesting day when New York opens...and you should be prepared for anything.

I'm still 'all in'.

See you on Friday.

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