He's got some info over at 321gold and tracks history of gold for comparable set ups..

CHARTWORKS - FEB 6, 2012
Precious Metals Take a Pause

Technical observations of RossClark@shaw.ca

Bob Hoye
Institutional Advisors
Posted Feb 9, 2012
Written Feb 6, 2012

After five weeks of non-stop advance, the precious metals took a breather for the past two days. Gold has found resistance at the Fibonacci 62% retracement level of the $1923 to $1523 decline and above the resistance line while the HUI managed to recover 50% and stop at its resistance line. These are the same retracements that occurred in the March 2004 correlation we have been monitoring. For gold to remain constructive we need to see prices hold at $1675 and the HUI at 517. Look for another push to the upside, peaking in the latter part of February with a test of $1900 or possibly $2155