Futures and Options are contracts that can give precious metals investors leverage, which can magnify their gains, but also, magnify their losses.
Characterized as speculative investments, futures and options are traded on futures exchanges like the NYMEX & Globex. If there were to be a default on these commodities exchanges during the coming gold and silver rush, we believe the exchanges could change the rules to allow liquidation orders only.
In that case, investors holding futures contracts for gold or silver would be forced to accept payment in cash (currency) instead of redeeming their shares for physical silver or gold, as their contracts entitle them to do.
Gold & Silver Mining Stocks or Bullion?
The debate over bullion versus mining stocks is an age-old one, and although both camps typically agree both silver and gold are great long-term investments, the argument on how to best invest is always a lively one.
Bullish arguments about gaining leverage to the appreciating prices of silver and gold make a great case as to why one might speculate and purchase mining company shares.
While we completely understand people’s interest in the mining sector there are some important distinctions investors should understand between owning physical bullion versus shares of companies that bring gold and silver to market from the ground up.
Let us make some distinctions between these two investment vehicles as well as explain some of the scams and cons to look our for within the mining investment sector.
Longterm Performance Figures
The BGMI, or Barron’s Gold Mining Index, is one of the few indexes that tracks gold mining stocks going back seven decades.
Since the link between the U.S. dollar and gold was severed in 1971, physical gold has vastly outperformed gold miners, increasing over 35 times in price while the BGMI has gone up less than half of that.
At times mining stocks may go up in price faster and farther than physical gold, but they also tend to drop further and faster.
Over the long haul, we believe physical bullion to be a more reliable investment.
Should I seek a safe haven or should I leverage some speculative risk?
Unlike safe haven assets such as silver and gold bullion, mining shares introduce risk in the sense that they have, and many times do, go to zero.
Any stocks, especially mining stocks, are inherently risky.
A mine can have labor disputes, permitting and licensing problems; it can be shut down by environmental agencies (like the EPA). Mines can have structural failures from mine shaft collapses ( think Chile 2010 ) and or flooding. There is also the threat of mismanagement-theft-corruption ( see the
Bre-X gold mine fraud ).
Many mines are located in countries that have histories of economic problems, military coups, and nationalization of their resource companies. Physical gold and silver, on the other hand, cannot go bankrupt.
Only a few of the largest and best-positioned miners have actually managed to be profitable in recent years; while many have folded due to increased production costs - largely caused by rising energy costs - and the fact that the low-hanging fruit of easily accessible deposits have been largely depleted. According to the United States Geological Survey, at current rates of production, the two metals the earth will run out of first are silver and gold. Gold reserves will be exhausted in 31 years, silver in only 26 years.
Another factor putting a damper on most mining stocks and on gold and silver supplies - is the long lead time typically required to get new mines up and running. Historically, it takes an average mine 5 to 7 years before a newly discovered lode is brought into production. In countries with stringent environmental regulations, such as the United States, it very difficult to develop new mines.
To hear Mike Maloney's thoughts on Gold & Silver Mining stocks,
click here.
Yeah, but this is the great gold and silver bull market of the 21st Century! Shouldn't a rising silver and gold price make the profits of silver and gold mining companies rise as a result, consequently won't their share prices in turn do the same?
What about all those potential 10, 20, and even 100 price multiple junior mining share picks I keep reading about online?
Caution... history tells of holes in the ground with liars on top.
The classical pump and dump scheme - whether it's oil-wells, diamonds, gold and or silver mines, the ability to manipulate an investor using their greed against them is a tried-and-true tactic which scam artists bank upon.
Pump and dump scams have been around as long as people have been digging holes in the ground. Here is how they typically work today:
This con usually starts with a thinly traded company which no one has heard of. The individuals looking to benefit from this ruse will acquire the company shares at a very cheap price, typically pennies a share.
They then market the stock as the next big thing, be it by old-school boiler room telephone operations, electronic press releases, internet videos, newsletters, emails, etc. You'll hear pitches like => "This silver discovery may be the highest grade exploration in... and you are going to want get in on the ground floor, the company's share price may more than triple shortly."
When new investors flood in, the unscrupulous promoters simply sell their cheaply purchased shares at there newly bloated prices leaving the new investors holding a bag of worthless stock shares.
Which investment vehicle would you prefer to hold in the instance of a bank holiday?
The threat of a possible worldwide, round-robin currency devaluation is very real. It is not hard for us to imagine a time, not too far off in the future, where sovereign and institutional banking debts reach crisis crescendos, so much so that bank holidays may be declared globally.
Imagine a period of time when brokerage and banking accounts are frozen, ATM's are not functioning, communications may even be disrupted.
Something like a Brenton Woods-type II scenario could possibly result with central bankers from around the world gathering and agreeing upon on a round-robin of instant currency debasements based upon sovereign debt to GDP levels for example.
At the same time, equities, futures, options, ETFs, or stock shares will simply stand frozen in their brokerage accounts getting devalued in their respective currencies.
In Closing…
At GoldSilver.com, we want gold and silver investors to be educated, so that they can make the best decisions for themselves and their families.
We sell only the gold and silver products we invest in ourselves. We offer secure vault storage and home delivery because that is how we store our own precious metals...
first in hand and then secondly in the hands of fully insured secure
vault storage custodians we trust, outside of the banks and the failing financial system.
Even if you don’t purchase your precious metals from our company, we want you to be well informed so your don't make mistake with your hard earned savings. Hopefully you are now more aware of the various gold scams, silver frauds, and potential pitfalls when making your silver and gold investment decisions.
Now that you know what not to invest in, you may be wondering what silver and gold investment vehicles you should invest in. If you are having trouble picking out what product(s) to buy,
click on this link.