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Message: Last time hedge funds went net short in gold in 2006 prices jumped 50%

Last time hedge funds went net short in gold in 2006 prices jumped 50%

Posted on 03 August 2015

The last time hedge funds went net short in gold this resulted in short-covering that pushed prices up 50 per cent over the next 18 months, as an article on the Zero Hedge website pointed out today (click here).

This is the position gold finds itself right now after a four-year bear market. The precious metal has been through a 50 per cent bear-market retracement, that is to say to the halfway point between its 2001 low and 2011 top.

Buy signal?

Commodities’ gurus like Jim Rogers have been waiting for this buying signal. The autumn is usually the best season for gold prices owing to the Indian religious calendar.

So what happens next? The technical chartists can still see gold going lower but the most important retracement is done.

Is this setting up gold for a rally? The last two times aggregate net long positions were this low, gold rallied 21 and 17 per cent, reported Zero Hedge. But perhaps the net short position is the one we should really be watching.

After 30 years of writing about financial markets you do get some kind of feeling for these cycles of optimism to pessimism, and there is no doubt gold sentiment has been heavily weighed to the downside. So is this the lift-off point?

http://www.arabianmoney.net/uncategorized/2015/08/03/last-time-hedge-funds-went-net-short-in-gold-in-2006-prices-jumped-50/

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