Re: Looking for Research Reports
in response to
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posted on
Nov 12, 2008 11:40AM
ATHABASCA BASIN: WHERE GRADE IS KING!
From Dave Pescots Letter today
HATHOR EXPLORATION (V-HAT) $1.75 -0.14
While markets in Canada and the U.S. look to test their old
lows, in the world of commodities, with the world-wide recession
peaking, commodities have continued to fall off a cliff. Oil
is now less than half of where it was at the peak; gold attracts
no attention at all despite the crisis that is supposed to create
a demand for gold; copper is approaching a level that is close
to a third of where it was and now commodities like molybdenum
join the group that are disappearing quickly in price.
About the only commodity adding a little bit to its valuation
these days is uranium. Mind you, it had its big run a year ago
before it collapsed and now it seems to be attracting attention.
Again, the main focus for uranium is power production and
plants continue to be built in places like India and China
(although not at a big rate) but plans for down the road continue
to accumulate at enormous rates. Which is the good
news.
The bad news is these plants can take anywhere from four
years to get okayed and built in China to 13 years in the United
States. But back to the matter at hand and that’s uranium
prices. TradeTech, one of the followers of the uranium price
suggests that there are several developments regarding uranium
that is helping to strengthen its price involving negative
news from the production sector, increasing demand and the
establishment of a new uranium fund.
They report that Kazakhstan’s national nuclear company,
Kazatomprom, announced this week that it expects 2009 production
to be roughly 14% less than previously forecast.
A second item is that Cameco reported that the McArthur
River project had experienced a “modest increase in water
inflow” which doesn’t bode well for increased production
down the road.
Meanwhile, it looks like New York Nuclear and Deutsche
Bank announced plans to establish an uranium fund, an investment
vehicle in which the primary asset will be physical
uranium.
In the operation of nuclear powered hydro plants, the cost
of uranium is an incredibly small portion of all costs, particularly
construction. So it’s starting to look for the short, medium
and long-term that uranium may have a future...and
meanwhile, we just wonder when all the other commodities
might just bottom...which year?
Meanwhile, today in research by Credit Suisse on the
“Uranium Market Review” they write, “The month of November is showing entries of new buyers into the market which is having a positive effect on pricing…Currently, a non-US Utility is seeking to purchase ~2Mln lbs U308 for delivery by July 2009. This new demand in the spot market is motivating sellers to increase their offer prices, resulting in the third increase in spot price in a row since July.”
drill it and they will come
griz