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Message: Market Volatility Sparks M&A Among Canadian Resource Companies

Market Volatility Sparks M&A Among Canadian Resource Companies

posted on Sep 23, 2008 10:13AM
Market Volatility Sparks M&A Among Canadian Resource Companies

14:00 EDT Tuesday, September 23, 2008

VANCOUVER -(Dow Jones)- Global markets are turning into a fight between haves and have nots, given the complex uncertainties revolving around available credit, ready private placements and the continuous need to oil operations with cash, bankers and analysts say.

Companies and financial instruments have been heavily sold down in recent weeks as investors and companies look for liquidity. Only oil and gold look like relative safe havens as the world watches the U.S. churn out more greenbacks to stave off financial meltdown.

At a time like this, fence-sitting might seem like the obvious reaction to a confusing and volatile landscape.

Not so, when it comes to senior resource companies looking for assets and future inventory at fire sale prices.

"In the past four weeks, as valuations have started to come down even more, the merger and acquisition business has been rampant - the number of calls from senior and mid-tier resource companies has spiked," said one senior capital- markets executive at a Canadian bank.

The bull run on commodity prices these past few years has bloated coffers of producing companies. Much of that cash is still sitting there, waiting to be employed.

Conversely, exploration and development companies that have raised easy capital in recent years are now sitting on a precipice - what cash is left in the coffers is running out and ready avenues for additional funds are all but closed.

In many ways, the coming onslaught of deals has already started. Some weeks ago, Goldcorp Inc. (GG) took out Gold Eagle Mines Ltd. (GEA.T) for C$1.5 billion, to consolidate the lucrative Red Lake mining district.

Kinross Gold Corp. (KGC) decided in July it had the resources and risk appetite to go for Aurelian Resources Inc. (ARU.T). It upped its holding to 91% last week by buying an additional 15.2 million shares in an exploration company sitting on a potential world-class mine but in politically volatile and uncertain Ecuador.

"Kinross has a diverse portfolio and decided it could take on something risky and potentially lucrative," one analyst said.

The contagion has spread beyond simple exploration plays.

Financing Hard To Come By

Anvil Mining Ltd. (AVM.T), a leading copper producer in the Democratic Republic of Congo, recently watched an investor walk away from a large private placement. It's now turned to BMO Capital Markets to look at other financing options.

Rockwell Diamonds Inc. (RDI.V) is busy rejecting a hostile overture by Pala Investment Holdings. The offer - at 36 Canadian cents a share - is about half what Rockwell was trading at a year ago. The lower share price is much in line with the fortunes of the TSX Venture Exchange, which is down 50% or so year-to- date.

Senior bankers say this is only the beginning of deals of all shapes and sizes as the need for financing - in whatever form - now tops the lists of many company executives

"Simply put, valuations for development-stage and smaller operation companies have gotten to the stage where larger companies find them attractive; the recent lack of liquidity...has hit the smaller companies far harder than the larger ones - the outcome is obvious," another M&A specialist said. "Companies with significant amounts of capital spending ahead of them are facing big challenges, to the point where they have to reduce spending. At the same time, there are an unprecedented number of calls coming into my office about possible deals."

One recent deal - Teck Cominco Ltd.(TCK) US$14.1 billion deal for Fording Canadian Coal Trust (FDG) - is something of a model in the marketplace, in that strategic stakes are being converted into controlling stakes or complete takeovers, he said. Teck Cominco controlled 20% of Fording before it announced a full takeover.

Another example: Glencore International AG (GNC.YY) could use its large stake in Katanga Mining Ltd. (KAT.T) to take it out, although the betting is that it simply prefers to decide who runs Katanga, given Glencore's core business - commodity trading, not mining operations.

First Quantum Minerals Ltd. (FM.T) has a 17% stake in Equinox Minerals Ltd. ( EQN.T), a copper play in Zambia that's run into some operational troubles.

"Potential consolidators in the market have been carefully aligning themselves with targets - it gives them options," one sector analyst said. "First Quantum could take out Equinox which is looking incredibly cheap at the moment."

Other companies on the hump, so to speak, in terms of financing or being potential targets?

Etruscan Resources Inc. (EET.T), a gold and diamond explorer in Africa, gold- play Orezone Resources Inc. (OXN.T) and Hecla Mining Co. (HL), which recently closed a US$147 million offering to pay down debt, are all said to be on the lookout for options - and likely to be in the crosshairs, in terms of being taken out, bankers said.

"Plus, the financings that are being seen at the moment aren't what the companies have wanted; they're generally 50%-75% of what was needed and the discounts are in the 20% to 25% range," one banker said.

The companies are turning to banks to find answers - quickly. For example, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) and Cormark Securities Inc. have recently been hired by High River Gold Mines Ltd. (HRG.T) to look at ways to maximize value via a special committee set up by the company to look at the pressing problem.

"The bottom line here is that a takeover or, say, a combination of two small companies, will be the only option for some companies to continue operations or remain viable plays in the resource sector; and those that have cash are going to be cautious going forward and try to conserve as much cash as possible in the hope that the markets will stabilize sometime in 2009," the banker said.

- By Brian Truscott, Dow Jones Newswires; 604-669-1595; brian.truscott@ dowjones.com

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