Re: Road v railway
in response to
by
posted on
May 20, 2011 12:32PM
Black Horse deposit has an Inferred Resource Now 85.9 Million Tonnes @ 34.5%
Interesting that the McCormack valutation (June 2010) applied a 25-40 MM$ value for the RR RoW, "based on on 10% of the potential cost savings from the contemplated route versus an alternative route".
As for the Broad Oak valuation:
"The Broad Oak Valuation was of the potential cash flow from the Big Daddy Chromite Deposit and determined that a 30% interest in the indicated and inferred resources presently identified at the Big Daddy deposit, if mined as a pit and sold into export markets as lump ore, has a NPV of between US$140.7 million and US$300.1 million based on a discount rate of 8% at lump ore prices of US$300/tonne and US$350/tonne, with the mid-range of US$325/tonne yielding a US$220 million NPV. The significant cost assumption incorporated in Broad Oak's DCF model is that the entire US$1.7 billion projected cost of construction of a railroad to ship lump ores to export market ports is borne by the mining of only the presently identified and assumed open-pittable resources providing a life-of-mine of 15 years. KWG believes that this railroad will serve a new mining district expected to develop at its northern terminus and thus have a useful life that would permit its cost to be amortized over very many decades. Nevertheless, the Broad Oak Valuation indicates that the Big Daddy interest alone has a net present value, calculated on this basis, of from US$0.17 to US$0.36 per KWG share, with the mid-range yielding US$0.27 per share."
Is it to say that the Rairoad would had a chance to be made first only if non-open pit BD is developped first???
GLTA.
BaBe.