Re: New Subject: The Gold Standard
in response to
by
posted on
Apr 15, 2010 11:13AM
Creating value through Exploration and Development in the Sierra Madre of Mexico
Bull,
Never say never, but as Rickards alluded to in that interview, the central banks and governments are arrayed against a gold standard simply because it would enforce monetary discipline and/or make it blatantly obvious when they are degrading their currencies.
If we get to some sort of gold standard, it likely would only be after a catastrophic collapse, making it a last-ditch, desperate act to build from the ashes.
The PR campaign against gold has been going on since Keynes in the 1930s-- even before with Williams Jennings Bryant and his cross of gold speech (he labeled gold the cross the rich had been crucifying the underclass on). Bryant wanted silver included as a monetary metal, too. And we could get to something of that considering what seems to be a scarcity of silver.
The Rickards arithmetic projections for gold -- $5,000 an oz, even $20,000 -- based on matching it at a 20 percent ratio to M1 or M3 money supplies, are interesting, but if we get there and raging inflation has led to $20,000 loaves of bread, we won't be ahead.
A gold standard would be a good thing, which I believe means it's a low-probability event in the near future.
Goldcarp