Cormark Securities update
posted on
Dec 02, 2009 11:56AM
Investment Thesis:
MagIndustries is trading well below our valuation, which factors in a partial
value for the large potash project and eucalyptus plantation in the RoC, but no
value for the Inga power plant in the DRC. With the mining license and
updated technical report, the potash project is set to move forward once
financing is complete. The near-term catalyst the market awaits is a full
financing deal with a strategic partner, which would accelerate the
construction, moving the stock higher. With the expiration of the exclusivity
period with SinoHydro, a potential strategic investor, we are lowering our target
to C$1.40 from C$2.00, but maintaining our Buy (S) recommendation as the
Company is engaging several parties in financing discussions.
Highlights:
• Exclusivity Period Expires Without Renewal
MAA announced yesterday that it has elected not to extend the exclusivity
period with SinoHydro for the proposed C$280 MM financing, but remains
optimistic regarding the prospect of signing a definitive agreement.
Discussions have begun with several other potential partners.
• Reducing Target, Maintaining Buy (S) Recommendation
As a result of the increased risk to closing the financing for the potash project,
we have decreased our applied probability factor and delayed our estimate for
the project start-up, resulting in a reduction to our target price to C$1.40 from
C$2.00.
http://www.stockhouse.com/Bullboards/MessageDetail.aspx?p=0&m=27689734&l=0&r=0&s=MAA&t=LIST