Brentie,
I see what you are trying to display but perhaps things have changed? The trial timeline looked very different when the 2014 leaps were presented to the market. If you are looking back at what happened to them and trying to predict what might happen this time, I think it might be really hard to do. I will have to go back and try to recreate the scene of the accident but I remember thinking to myself at the time..."these 2014 leaps should be long after trial completion and FDA NDA review." Now look at where we find ourselves.
IMO the conservative timeline on the 2015 $5 leaps makes them much less risky than the 2014's.
Swing