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Message: Re: SP projection for 500 bpd for Chengjoo - revised
1
Mar 27, 2008 06:29AM

Mar 27, 2008 06:35AM

Mar 27, 2008 06:35AM

Mar 27, 2008 06:36AM

Mar 27, 2008 06:38AM
1
Mar 27, 2008 06:39AM

Mar 27, 2008 06:40AM
1
Mar 27, 2008 06:42AM

Mar 27, 2008 06:45AM

Mar 27, 2008 06:46AM
1
Mar 27, 2008 06:48AM
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Mar 27, 2008 06:59AM

Mar 27, 2008 07:04AM

Mar 27, 2008 07:59AM

Mar 27, 2008 08:09AM

Mar 27, 2008 09:36AM

Mar 27, 2008 09:43AM

Mar 27, 2008 09:56AM

 

Agree with all except the SP.

If MEO share of production flow is 1,000 bpd (including gas)

then the minimum SP is 0,96$ if net earning are of 50% of gross revenue and a ratio of 10. ( maximum being at 2,31$ with 80% of gross revenue and a ratio of 15)

 

Production (bbd) (MEO)

100

200

500

1000

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production year(365 days)

365

36500

73000

182500

365000

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue ($100/b)

100

3 650 000,00 $

7 300 000,00 $

18 250 000,00 $

36 500 000,00 $

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Revenue

80%

2 920 000,00 $

5 840 000,00 $

14 600 000,00 $

29 200 000,00 $

Net Revenue

70%

2 555 000,00 $

5 110 000,00 $

12 775 000,00 $

25 550 000,00 $

Net Revenue

60%

2 190 000,00 $

4 380 000,00 $

10 950 000,00 $

21 900 000,00 $

Net Revenue

50%

1 825 000,00 $

3 650 000,00 $

9 125 000,00 $

18 250 000,00 $

 

 

 

 

 

 

# shares (in Million)

190

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earning/share

80%

0,0154 $

0,0307 $

0,0768 $

0,1537 $

Earning/share

70%

0,0134 $

0,0269 $

0,0672 $

0,1345 $

Earning/share

60%

0,0115 $

0,0231 $

0,0576 $

0,1153 $

Earning/share

50%

0,0096 $

0,0192 $

0,0480 $

0,0961 $

 

 

 

 

 

 

P/E ration(10)

80%

0,1537 $

0,3074 $

0,7684 $

1,5368 $

P/E ration(10)

70%

0,1345 $

0,2689 $

0,6724 $

1,3447 $

P/E ration(10)

60%

0,1153 $

0,2305 $

0,5763 $

1,1526 $

P/E ration(10)

50%

0,0961 $

0,1921 $

0,4803 $

0,9605 $

 

 

 

 

 

 

P/E ration(15)

80%

0,2305 $

0,4611 $

1,1526 $

2,3053 $

P/E ration(15)

70%

0,2017 $

0,4034 $

1,0086 $

2,0171 $

P/E ration(15)

60%

0,1729 $

0,3458 $

0,8645 $

1,7289 $

P/E ration(15)

50%

0,1441 $

0,2882 $

0,7204 $

0,9600 $

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note

Oil in Tennessee is a premium oil (very light and no sulfur)

 

 

Access for delivery is very easy ( not in the forest)

 

 

No overhead has been calulated as no base

 

 

Compare with Petrolifera (in the forest, oil sold at $48,90 and 51 M shares)

 

 

 

 

 

 

0,205 $

: Trading now (Mar 27,08 at 15:00)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IMHO

ecce

 

1
Mar 27, 2008 08:25PM
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