$500M left in MMP? What's it mean to PTSC shareholders?
posted on
Jul 09, 2012 09:45PM
Here's some rose colored thinking for you:
Assumptions:
Notes:
Analysis Parameters;
As you can see from the very basic spreadsheet below, this level of licensing under these simplified parameters, could net around a 4 to 10 cent annual dividend, or 32 cents per share over the next 6 years.
What market cap TODAY would be warranted for such a return on investment over 6 years. In other words, what would you have to invest today to have it worth 32 cents 6 years from now. Obviously, it depends on the interest rate of your investment. What if the assumed interest rate was 7%? The answer is 22.6 cents.
Now, forget holding the stock for the next 6 years, and only look as if you're looking at a window of time of 1 year. Factor in the possibility that PTSC might earn 60M in that year, and $20M the next, and instead provide you with a dividend of 8 cents in your particular investment time frame. In that case, what is the "market price" for THOSE shares. Seems like they'd be quite a bit higher?
Lots of conjecture on my part, but what else is there to do PTSC wise. At some point, IMO at least, it seems that it's PTSC who should be providing some type of value data for the market to decide for itself. I guess I'm an eternal optimist, lol!
Annual License Revenue | $40,000,000 | ||||||||||
Actual Expenses | $1,500,000 | ||||||||||
Investment Interest Rate | 0.00% | ||||||||||
Number of Shares | 407,000,000 | ||||||||||
Minimum Treasury Balance | $15,000,000 | ||||||||||
Annual License Revenue Prior Year | Treasury To Start Year | Treasury Subject to Investment by Manager | Investment Appreciation | Annual Expenses | Taxes | Annual Profit | End of Year Treasury Amount | End of Year Treasury Amount Subject to 80% Dividend Distribution | End of Year Treasury After Expenses but Prior to License Revenue | Dividend Per Share | |
$7,000,000 | $0 | $0 | $1,500,000 | ($525,000) | ($1,500,000) | $5,500,000 | $0 | $5,500,000 | $0.000 | ||
$40,000,000 | $45,500,000 | $30,500,000 | $0 | $1,500,000 | $13,475,000 | $25,025,000 | $30,525,000 | $15,525,000 | $15,000,000 | $0.038 | |
$40,000,000 | $55,000,000 | $40,000,000 | $0 | $1,500,000 | $13,475,000 | $25,025,000 | $40,025,000 | $25,025,000 | $15,000,000 | $0.061 | |
$40,000,000 | $55,000,000 | $40,000,000 | $0 | $1,500,000 | $13,475,000 | $25,025,000 | $40,025,000 | $25,025,000 | $15,000,000 | $0.061 | |
$40,000,000 | $55,000,000 | $40,000,000 | $0 | $1,500,000 | $13,475,000 | $25,025,000 | $40,025,000 | $25,025,000 | $15,000,000 | $0.061 | |
$40,000,000 | $55,000,000 | $40,000,000 | $0 | $1,500,000 | $13,475,000 | $25,025,000 | $40,025,000 | $40,025,000 | $0 | $0.098 | |
Total Dividends Issued | $0.321 |