Re: $500M left in MMP? What's it mean to PTSC shareholders?
in response to
by
posted on
Jul 09, 2012 10:49PM
Sir Steeler:
Allright, I'll give it a shot...Initial reactions in RED.....Good Job !...Virt
Notes:
Analysis Parameters;
As you can see from the very basic spreadsheet below, this level of licensing under these simplified parameters, could net around a 4 to 10 cent annual dividend, or 32 cents per share over the next 6 years.
What market cap TODAY would be warranted for such a return on investment over 6 years. In other words, what would you have to invest today to have it worth 32 cents 6 years from now. Obviously, it depends on the interest rate of your investment. What if the assumed interest rate was 7%? The answer is 22.6 cents......7% Really?...Tad high in today's economy, you think?
Now, forget holding the stock for the next 6 years, and only look as if you're looking at a window of time of 1 year. Factor in the possibility that PTSC might earn 60M in that year, and $20M the next, and instead provide you with a dividend of 8 cents in your particular investment time frame. In that case, what is the "market price" for THOSE shares. Seems like they'd be quite a bit higher?....Agreed..But extremely difficult to forecast future revenue and unlikely PTSC/TPL would provide visibility.