http://www.poet-technologies.com/poet-response-to-intel-statement-at-idf13that-moores-law-is-not-dead/
POET Response to: “Intel statement that Moore’s Law is not dead based on the fact that Intel will be shipping 14nm Broadwell Systems by the end of 2013 providing a 30 per cent improvement in power consumption over today’s comparable 22nm “Haswell” chips”
“This announcement adds little to what is already known since over two years ago (5/5/11) Intel had released a technology roadmap showing a process P1272 at a lithography of 14nm reaching 1st production in 2013. In the same roadmap a subsequent process P1274 at a lithography of 10nm is projected to reach 1st production in 2015. Realistically, Moore’s law is not quite dead, but it is on life support. Intel scientists have no plan beyond 10nm or possibly 7nm depending on which one you talk to. Similar conclusions has been reported recently by DARPA’s MTO director who makes the very realistic argument that making a transition to 10nm or less may well be determined by the business case, i.e. the rapidly increasing cost of production will not be recovered with sufficient margin. So it is clear that a major turning point in technological advancement is rapidly approaching. POET believes this turning point is towards integrated optical and quantum effects. Therefore Intel’s next generation technology should include the integration of optical technology and in particular the integration of optical gain. Thus far Si photonics has shown itself to be incapable of this and so POET believes this is the “once in a generation” opportunity for a re-baseline from Si to GaAs as a mainstream technology.”
-Peter Copetti, Executive Director & Chairman, Special Strategic Committee
