"Compute the monthly burn rate times 24-25 mos. and that's the amount of the financing that they are after at this time."
I took a similar read from the news release this morning and agree they were setting an anchor for the amount of cash they are looking for. But I only gave them 15 months of the current burn rate taking them to March of 2025. I have the burn rate at $1.1 million per month after removing non-cash expenses. I don't expect Tom would want the account balance to be zero at that time so I added a few million on to that. I also gave them a 25% probability on the "single-digit millions" they expect from the AI market in 2024 per the 11/6 news.
I expect they are looking to raise $20 million. I ran this exercise to prevent my own sticker shock when the numbers come out. That will help me keep the emotions down.
I realize additional revenue could reduce that number but with the delays on the customer side to this point I expect a more conservative approach than what got us here today. I also don't think they will try to time a follow-up raise with better conditions over the next 15 months.
Cheers and good luck from this arm-chair CFO.