Re: So.....?
in response to
by
posted on
Oct 14, 2017 04:08PM
Great perspectives narmac.
I've been reading all of the great posts and looking at the numbers just gather my thoughts so I hope you don't mind that I'm posting (nothing new of course but perhaps a slightly different angle).
1) Financing - I'm assuming USD in all numbers although that is not clear from the release but either way the key is that all numbers are in the same currency.
Thus approx 2 months of funding to cover admin and BOM, etc. These of course are very rough numbers. As many have pointed out, the implications are clear. While we don't know how long the BOM trial will take to complete but if we ASSUME it is complete in October of 2018 (there will surely be expenses after) there are about 13 months to fund less the 2 months funded by the HL $ at $3,000,000/month RVX needs at least $33,000,000 to complete BOM (approximately and if someone wants to criticise me then put in your own numbers)
If the other trials are to be funded the costs will go up.
Hence, as has been well covered Don needs to get "the deal" done SOON.
Could Hepalink's next move be to come back in with their own partner to complete the trial?
2) Changes in Share Structure with Hepalink Deal (excluding exercising or warrants)
So, as pointed out by others, this is a huge shift.
3) Intellectual Property
So I sure don't know what tricks Don has up his sleeve. I think his days are numbered and if the Chinese get control they will not be a friendly lot to deal with once they are inside.
On the share side, from my perspective, it is not so much the dliution that concerns me. I believe apabetalone will be a blockbuster with a massive market so there is tremendous upside on the share price. The issue for me now is the concentration of shares and power which has just become far more concentrated. China is a strategic country with a strong focus on innovation, copying and IP. I will not take this thought any further.
I'm extremely concerned with this deal because it shows that Don does not have options. Even Eastern didn't pony up. And yet I bought 2200 shares this week. I must be crazy. If the FA is successful then we have considerable time to wait for the success of BOM but at least with a positive FA Don can possibly work his way out of this Hepa control situation.
Anyway, pure speculations and observations. I'm sure I'll get flammed or have my knuckles whacked for this but perhaps it will stimulate other perspectives.
GLTA
Toinv :)