In September 2018, we were told that there had been 'around 200' events and that the MACE rate was 10-15 per month. It has been more than six months and we have not yet hit 250. Me thinks RVX goofed up in September and they might have meant 200 events, rather than 200 adjudicated events. Given that there is 2 to 3 month adjudication lag, the adjudicated number must have been around 170+ in September. Now, 6 to 7 months later, we have another 70+ events adjudicated (i hope so), that gives a total number of around 240+(again, hoping), and that gives us 250+ date in April (as expected by DM).
Disclaimer: The above is just an opinion and the probability of being incorrect is high