Re: TD follows up
in response to
by
posted on
Apr 15, 2009 09:21AM
San Gold Corporation - one of Canada's most exciting new exploration companies and gold producers.
Three snippets from the TDW report to add to hotmuck's post yesterday...
"As part of its update, the company provided:
(1) results from its sampling – apparently significantly positive, but we reserve judgment given a lack of description on its sampling procedures; and
(2) pictures of the mineralized zone from underground excavations – these we find very encouraging, and make significant changes to our model as a result."
"On balance, our estimate of corporate NAV5% increases from $1.81/share to $2.38/share and our target price rises from $2.25/share to $3.00/share at a consistent 1.2x multiple."
"Justification of Target Price
We generate our target price from the application of a 1.2x multiple to our corporate NAV5% which we calculated using a long term gold price of US$800/oz and USD/CAD exchange rate of $0.85. Companies that are expected to achieve rapid growth with declining costs in politically safe jurisdictions have typically commanded premium multiples. This is especially true of those with high-grade projects, like San Gold, which tend to benefit from greater exploration potential and lower capital and operating costs per ounce than their low-grade peers."