Silver Shimmers in Otherwise Dark Market
posted on
Mar 05, 2009 10:46AM
Members Discovering Great Gold Juniors, Seniors & ETFs
now we're in trouble: cramer likes silver:
Cramer thinks gold, now at $917.60 an ounce, is buy, and he suggested that investors start to build a position. He’s recommended all types of gold plays, from bullion to coins to the SPDR Gold Shares [GLD 92.01 3.02 (+3.39%) ] to Agnico-Eagle Mines [AEM 50.69 3.31 (+6.99%) ] . Any of them work. It’s just a question of which strategy you like best.
But silver, too, is worth a look. Not only is it historically cheap, but also silver has been outperforming gold this year. While gold is up about 6% in 2009, silver’s jumped 15%. And since 1968, the average price of an ounce of gold was 52 times that of an ounce of silver, but right now that figure’s up to 74 times.
Cramer likes the iShares Silver Trust [SLV 13.14 0.36 (+2.82%) ] as the best silver investment. This exchange-traded fund actually owns silver and usually tracks its price closely.
There are other options, though, but Cramer’s less enthusiastic about them. Silver bullion, much like gold, is bought in bulk, so this is largely a play for the wealthy. Coins often get marked up 15% to 30%, but people compelled to buy them should look to the Canadian Maple Leaf and U.S. American Eagle, sold at these countries’ respective Mints.
Silver Wheaton [SLW 6.67 0.42 (+6.72%) ] is the pure-play silver company, but Pan American Silver [PAAS 14.33 0.77 (+5.68%) ] has the best growth, Cramer said, even though the company has exposure to underperforming base metals. If the Mad Money host could recommend any miner right now, he’d stick with Agnico. As attractive as silver might be, he likes gold more.
Cramer does believe that both gold and silver will decline in the short term. So his stance on these precious metals in bearish. He just thinks that they’re a great insurance against the market, and he wants to give investors the chance to buy them on the way down.
Cramer recommended that investors build a position in gold and silver equal to 20% of their portfolio. If, say, they want 100 shares of the GLD, they should buy 25 shares right now, the next 25 at $85 and so on. Follow the same model for buying the SLV. Grab some shares at $12, then $11.50…Worst-case scenario? The share price reverses direction and you don’t get a chance to buy more at discounted prices. That sounds like a win-win to Cramer.