5:21p ET Wednesday, November 3, 2010

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With the Fed announcement today and the resulting tremendous volatility in gold and silver, King World News interviewed the legendary Jim Sinclair. When asked about the action in gold Sinclair responded, “We had two periods today where the offerings were being made in huge amounts and the bids were running for cover. I mean it’s your standard manipulation. But you can be sure that there is a designed effort to hold the dollar and to oppose gold going to the positive side so that the action of the Federal Reserve will not be analyzed as extreme, even thought it is.”

“I think the most salient point of what has taken place today is not the number but more so the fact that the Fed took a stand in the face of both national and international, in fact fierce international criticism of the policy.”

How did you know that there was going to be a large number for QE?

“Well you have to get a feel from people who do business with the Fed on a day to day basis, and what they found unusual was that Bernanke actually came out well before the meeting and gave an indication of exactly what he had intended to do. Now you have to look at what the cost would be of backing off from that. And you really wonder whether or not Bernanke actually set up all of this criticism, to come out and look for the first time like a very strong Fed, even if their direction might be misguided.

I don’t think QE is good, and I wouldn’t defend the economics of it but I don’t think there was any alternative. The need for the QE basically to infinity and that’s I think what you can call today as a watershed event, the need basically is because the balance sheets of the financial community are all a product of FASB’s permission to value assets that don’t exist, that aren’t there, that are entirely fabricated.

The Fed has a better picture of the financial condition of US entities than any central bank anywhere. The Fed has the entire picture of what it’s holding on its balance sheet, the Fed knows the extent and difficulty of the problem. The Fed has kicked the can down the road one more time because there is no other choice.

If the Fed hadn’t acted to bail out the international investment banks when the over the counter derivative meltdown first came, you would have had a roll over you wouldn’t believe. So you are stuck between a rock and a hard place, it isn’t right what they are doing but there is no other alternative.”

Why was QE reported at $600 billion when it is really $900 billion?

“Because that’s management of perspective economics.”

Are we in a depression?

“We are in unchartered waters with business folding over. We don’t know what the name will be for this. One thing we do know is it’s not dollar positive and that the only insurance out there that would react positively to things we can’t control such as Fed decisions is gold.”

Is it ok to let gold run in a day or two?

“I don’t think you can really control it. I think that gold will run but as of today, whenever the boss speaks, we’ll call him the financial boss, there is always intervention to make the boss look good. It’s never failed, it will always be so, and it is so today.”

When asked about the US dollar Sinclair responded, “72 right now is the price objective, then I think some modest strength, and then into the sixties.”

Jim Sinclair also mentioned the dollar index, “could eventually fall to 56.”

But theoretically if we can hold in that level and that’s the low, it’s not the end of the world?

“I don’t think it has to be the end of the world, I think it’s the end of doing business as has been done. I think it’s the tail end of the darkest period we have ever had in finance and the dollar will reflect that.”

When asked about how his father Bert Seligman and his business partner Jesse Livermore would be trading gold going forward Sinclair responded, “I believe firmly that Bert would have considered it (today) a bottom, and now they (Bert and Jesse) would be looking to pick it up on any dips.”

Well there you have it from one of the greats, gold has bottomed. Assuming Sinclair is correct, for all of you dip buyers, if you blinked you missed it.

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2010/11/3_Jim_Sinclair_-_Gold_Bottomed%2C_Dollar_Index_Headed_to_56.html