Gold's Technical Situation Remains Bearish
posted on
Feb 12, 2010 07:57AM
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http://seekingalpha.com/article/187781-gold-s-technical-situation-remains-bearish?source=hp
Gold: Gold rose nearly 1% to close at $1,076.50/oz in US trading. It then range traded between $1,074/oz and $1,080/oz in Asian trading this morning. Gold is currently trading at $1,080.00/oz and in euro and GBP terms, gold is trading at €783/oz and £686/oz respectively.
Gold’s technical situation remains bearish after its recent break down below previous support $1,075/oz. However, there would appear to be strong support at the $1,000/oz to $1,030/oz price level which was previous strong resistance. Significantly, the 200-day moving average has now edged up to $1,024.80/oz and the 200 day moving average could again provide support. Also of note is that the Fibonacci retracement level of 38.2% is at $1,019/oz which is another support level. This is the 38.2% retracement of the move up from the October 2008 lows at $682.66/oz to the December 2009 record nominal high of $1,226.50/oz.
(Click on the image to view full size).
A weekly close below these levels (200 DMA at $1,024.80/oz and Fibonacci 38.2% level at $1,019/oz) and the important psychological level of $1,000/oz would be damaging to gold technically.
However, the degree of physical demand at these price levels as being experienced by dealers and seen in premiums in India, Vietnam and the Far East would suggest that gold may find support above $1,000/oz. China’s $300 billion sovereign wealth fund’s diversification into the SPDR gold ETF (see news below) is a further indication of demand for gold above the $1,000/oz price level.
Silver: Silver started the day at $15.38/oz and went as high as $15.58/oz earlier in Asia. Silver is currently trading at $15.47/oz, €11.25/oz and £9.85/oz.
Platinum Group Metals: Platinum is trading at $1,505/oz and palladium is currently trading at $420/oz. Rhodium is at $2,475/oz.
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Disclosure: No positions