Bill Fleckenstein- Inflation
posted on
Mar 07, 2010 11:03PM
Edit this title from the Fast Facts Section
Greece and the United Kingdom are suffering a dire funding problem that is headed for US shores.
We will soon find out whether Bank of England Gov. Mervyn King will extend quantitative easing and, if he does, how the bond market will respond to a renewed effort to pump money directly into that economy. (The pound is already under a good deal of downward pressure.)
I would say that the U.K.'s funding crisis -- to use my ballgame analogy -- is probably in the third inning or so, even if we are still taking batting practice over here. (Read "Economy sinks as we save bankers" and "The next crisis has already begun" to brush up on that analogy.)
Only in a funding crisis where you have no other options are the Western world's "soft" social democracies willing to -- or rather, are forced to -- make hard decisions. So, the upside of the crisis is potentially coming out the other side in a more sane, sustainable fashion. That's what we all have to hope for.
What's difficult is trying to describe in advance the exact path whose destination is inflation. That's because government money printing infects certain markets or niches sooner, with some affected more than others. But one thing is knowable: Money printing always ends up raising prices.
Thus far here in America, we've witnessed a lot of taxes and user fees raised by the government, and businesses that have seen competitors fall away have increased prices. That's a variation of inflation, which will be exacerbated by more money printing.